In Panama City's tropical wet season, variable afternoon convective cloud cover and rainfall intensity primarily drive uncertainty around the July 11 maximum temperature, with market-implied odds clustered near 30–32°C reflecting typical July averages of 30–31°C. Reduced insolation from widespread thunderstorms or thicker ITCZ-influenced cloud decks caps daytime peaks by limiting surface heating, while breaks in coverage or lighter winds could allow brief rises toward 33°C or higher, though historical data show such extremes remain uncommon. Model consensus on precipitation timing and sea-surface temperatures near the isthmus will shape final outcomes, with official observations resolving the market based on precise daily maxima.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트7월 11일에 파나마시티에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?
32°C 36%
31°C 29%
30°C 10%
33°C 7.0%
25°C 이하
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
10%
31°C
29%
32°C
36%
33°C
7%
34°C
5%
35°C 이상
1%
32°C 36%
31°C 29%
30°C 10%
33°C 7.0%
25°C 이하
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
10%
31°C
29%
32°C
36%
33°C
7%
34°C
5%
35°C 이상
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
In Panama City's tropical wet season, variable afternoon convective cloud cover and rainfall intensity primarily drive uncertainty around the July 11 maximum temperature, with market-implied odds clustered near 30–32°C reflecting typical July averages of 30–31°C. Reduced insolation from widespread thunderstorms or thicker ITCZ-influenced cloud decks caps daytime peaks by limiting surface heating, while breaks in coverage or lighter winds could allow brief rises toward 33°C or higher, though historical data show such extremes remain uncommon. Model consensus on precipitation timing and sea-surface temperatures near the isthmus will shape final outcomes, with official observations resolving the market based on precise daily maxima.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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