Recent meteorological forecasts for Shanghai on July 10 point to a daily high near 31–33°C as the dominant driver of market odds, reflecting typical early-July conditions as the East Asian monsoon rainy season tapers. Model consensus highlights modest daytime heating under partly cloudy skies with southeasterly flow, while variable afternoon convective activity and humidity levels create the narrow spread among 31°C, 32°C, and 33°C outcomes. Official guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration notes that brief showers or thicker cloud cover could suppress the peak by 1–2°C, whereas clearer intervals would favor the upper end of that range. Historical July averages near 32°C provide context, yet short-term model runs remain the key variable traders monitor ahead of final resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트7월 10일 상하이에서 가장 높은 기온?
32°C 40%
33°C 30%
31°C 18%
34°C 8.1%
$71,268 거래량
$71,268 거래량
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
3%
31°C
18%
32°C
40%
33°C
30%
34°C
8%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 40%
33°C 30%
31°C 18%
34°C 8.1%
$71,268 거래량
$71,268 거래량
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
3%
31°C
18%
32°C
40%
33°C
30%
34°C
8%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent meteorological forecasts for Shanghai on July 10 point to a daily high near 31–33°C as the dominant driver of market odds, reflecting typical early-July conditions as the East Asian monsoon rainy season tapers. Model consensus highlights modest daytime heating under partly cloudy skies with southeasterly flow, while variable afternoon convective activity and humidity levels create the narrow spread among 31°C, 32°C, and 33°C outcomes. Official guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration notes that brief showers or thicker cloud cover could suppress the peak by 1–2°C, whereas clearer intervals would favor the upper end of that range. Historical July averages near 32°C provide context, yet short-term model runs remain the key variable traders monitor ahead of final resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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