Seoul's summer nocturnal minimum temperatures hinge on clear-sky radiative cooling, boundary-layer humidity from the East Asian monsoon, and weak synoptic winds that limit mixing. With July climatological lows near 21–24 °C and current model guidance indicating modest cloud cover and light southerly flow for 10–11 July, the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 23–25 °C reflects uncertainty in the precise magnitude of overnight cooling rather than any dramatic shift in large-scale pattern. Urban heat-island effects and variable precipitation timing can easily add or subtract 1–2 °C from the observed minimum recorded between 03:00–09:00 local time, keeping the 22–26 °C band the focus of trader attention ahead of updated KMA and ensemble forecasts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트7월 11일 서울 최저 기온?
7월 11일 서울 최저 기온?
24°C 46%
23°C 30%
22°C 11%
25°C 6%
신규
신규
2026.07.11
19°C 이하
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
11%
23°C
30%
24°C
46%
25°C
6%
26°C
4%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29도 이상
<1%
24°C 46%
23°C 30%
22°C 11%
25°C 6%
신규
신규
2026.07.11
19°C 이하
$127 거래량
1%
20°C
$187 거래량
1%
21°C
$156 거래량
3%
22°C
$87 거래량
11%
23°C
$77 거래량
30%
24°C
$1,669 거래량
46%
25°C
$733 거래량
6%
26°C
$233 거래량
4%
27°C
$367 거래량
1%
28°C
$574 거래량
<1%
29도 이상
$1,432 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Seoul's summer nocturnal minimum temperatures hinge on clear-sky radiative cooling, boundary-layer humidity from the East Asian monsoon, and weak synoptic winds that limit mixing. With July climatological lows near 21–24 °C and current model guidance indicating modest cloud cover and light southerly flow for 10–11 July, the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 23–25 °C reflects uncertainty in the precise magnitude of overnight cooling rather than any dramatic shift in large-scale pattern. Urban heat-island effects and variable precipitation timing can easily add or subtract 1–2 °C from the observed minimum recorded between 03:00–09:00 local time, keeping the 22–26 °C band the focus of trader attention ahead of updated KMA and ensemble forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
거래량
$5,641종료일
2026.07.11마켓 개설일
Jul 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Seoul's summer nocturnal minimum temperatures hinge on clear-sky radiative cooling, boundary-layer humidity from the East Asian monsoon, and weak synoptic winds that limit mixing. With July climatological lows near 21–24 °C and current model guidance indicating modest cloud cover and light southerly flow for 10–11 July, the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 23–25 °C reflects uncertainty in the precise magnitude of overnight cooling rather than any dramatic shift in large-scale pattern. Urban heat-island effects and variable precipitation timing can easily add or subtract 1–2 °C from the observed minimum recorded between 03:00–09:00 local time, keeping the 22–26 °C band the focus of trader attention ahead of updated KMA and ensemble forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$5,641종료일
2026.07.11마켓 개설일
Jul 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSeoul's summer nocturnal minimum temperatures hinge on clear-sky radiative cooling, boundary-layer humidity from the East Asian monsoon, and weak synoptic winds that limit mixing. With July climatological lows near 21–24 °C and current model guidance indicating modest cloud cover and light southerly flow for 10–11 July, the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 23–25 °C reflects uncertainty in the precise magnitude of overnight cooling rather than any dramatic shift in large-scale pattern. Urban heat-island effects and variable precipitation timing can easily add or subtract 1–2 °C from the observed minimum recorded between 03:00–09:00 local time, keeping the 22–26 °C band the focus of trader attention ahead of updated KMA and ensemble forecasts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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