Recent Met Office forecasts indicate a 17°C overnight minimum for London on July 11 amid the ongoing heatwave, with daytime highs near 30°C under high pressure and mostly clear skies. This setup favors radiative cooling after sunset, yet the urban heat island effect and light winds may moderate the drop, keeping the low near or slightly above the July climatological average of 14–15°C. Ensemble model spreads introduce uncertainty between 16–19°C, with limited cloud cover or subtle advection shifts able to alter the exact reading. Traders price 17°C highest because it aligns with the latest official guidance, while nearby outcomes reflect the narrow forecast range typical this close to the verification window.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트7월 11일 런던의 최저 기온은?
19°C 51%
18°C 35%
20°C 10%
17°C 5%
13°C 이하
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
5%
18°C
35%
19°C
51%
20°C
10%
21°C
2%
22°C
1%
23°C 이상
<1%
19°C 51%
18°C 35%
20°C 10%
17°C 5%
13°C 이하
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
5%
18°C
35%
19°C
51%
20°C
10%
21°C
2%
22°C
1%
23°C 이상
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Met Office forecasts indicate a 17°C overnight minimum for London on July 11 amid the ongoing heatwave, with daytime highs near 30°C under high pressure and mostly clear skies. This setup favors radiative cooling after sunset, yet the urban heat island effect and light winds may moderate the drop, keeping the low near or slightly above the July climatological average of 14–15°C. Ensemble model spreads introduce uncertainty between 16–19°C, with limited cloud cover or subtle advection shifts able to alter the exact reading. Traders price 17°C highest because it aligns with the latest official guidance, while nearby outcomes reflect the narrow forecast range typical this close to the verification window.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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