Current short-range model consensus from Météo-France and ECMWF points to a persistent heat dome maintaining elevated overnight temperatures across the Paris basin through July 11, limiting radiative cooling under light winds and high humidity. This setup supports implied probabilities clustering around 20–24 °C lows, with 21 °C edging the field at 30 %. Subtle differences among these outcomes hinge on forecast spread in boundary-layer moisture and any marginal Atlantic flow that could shave a degree or two versus continued subsidence suppressing mixing. Updated guidance expected from the next 00Z and 12Z runs will clarify whether the minimum settles near the lower or upper end of the favored range before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트7월 11일 파리에서 가장 기온이 낮으신가요?
7월 11일 파리에서 가장 기온이 낮으신가요?
21°C 34%
22°C 33%
23°C 16%
20°C 11%
신규
신규
2026.07.11
17°C 이하
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
5%
20°C
11%
21°C
34%
22°C
33%
23°C
16%
24°C
5%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C 이상
<1%
21°C 34%
22°C 33%
23°C 16%
20°C 11%
신규
신규
2026.07.11
17°C 이하
$445 거래량
<1%
18°C
$234 거래량
1%
19°C
$131 거래량
5%
20°C
$177 거래량
11%
21°C
$2,430 거래량
34%
22°C
$3,010 거래량
33%
23°C
$220 거래량
16%
24°C
$148 거래량
5%
25°C
$329 거래량
1%
26°C
$225 거래량
<1%
27°C 이상
$200 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range model consensus from Météo-France and ECMWF points to a persistent heat dome maintaining elevated overnight temperatures across the Paris basin through July 11, limiting radiative cooling under light winds and high humidity. This setup supports implied probabilities clustering around 20–24 °C lows, with 21 °C edging the field at 30 %. Subtle differences among these outcomes hinge on forecast spread in boundary-layer moisture and any marginal Atlantic flow that could shave a degree or two versus continued subsidence suppressing mixing. Updated guidance expected from the next 00Z and 12Z runs will clarify whether the minimum settles near the lower or upper end of the favored range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
거래량
$7,549종료일
2026.07.11마켓 개설일
Jul 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range model consensus from Météo-France and ECMWF points to a persistent heat dome maintaining elevated overnight temperatures across the Paris basin through July 11, limiting radiative cooling under light winds and high humidity. This setup supports implied probabilities clustering around 20–24 °C lows, with 21 °C edging the field at 30 %. Subtle differences among these outcomes hinge on forecast spread in boundary-layer moisture and any marginal Atlantic flow that could shave a degree or two versus continued subsidence suppressing mixing. Updated guidance expected from the next 00Z and 12Z runs will clarify whether the minimum settles near the lower or upper end of the favored range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$7,549종료일
2026.07.11마켓 개설일
Jul 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent short-range model consensus from Météo-France and ECMWF points to a persistent heat dome maintaining elevated overnight temperatures across the Paris basin through July 11, limiting radiative cooling under light winds and high humidity. This setup supports implied probabilities clustering around 20–24 °C lows, with 21 °C edging the field at 30 %. Subtle differences among these outcomes hinge on forecast spread in boundary-layer moisture and any marginal Atlantic flow that could shave a degree or two versus continued subsidence suppressing mixing. Updated guidance expected from the next 00Z and 12Z runs will clarify whether the minimum settles near the lower or upper end of the favored range before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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