Mojtaba Khamenei, appointed Iran's Supreme Leader after his father Ali Khamenei's death in US-Israeli airstrikes in early 2026, has made no public appearances since March, fueling trader speculation on his health and potential exile amid regime instability. Recent reports confirm severe injuries from the strikes, with him reportedly in a secure bunker under medical care and delegating authority to IRGC generals during faltering US ceasefire talks over the Strait of Hormuz blockade. Iranian officials and Russia's envoy insist he remains in-country and in full health, while Israeli PM Netanyahu described him as alive but limited in power; upcoming negotiations or escalations could clarify his status and sway market odds on departure.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$1,121,319 거래량
2026.05.31
5월 31일
1%
6월 30일
4%
$1,121,319 거래량
5월 31일
$101,275 거래량
1%
6월 30일
$48,434 거래량
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei, appointed Iran's Supreme Leader after his father Ali Khamenei's death in US-Israeli airstrikes in early 2026, has made no public appearances since March, fueling trader speculation on his health and potential exile amid regime instability. Recent reports confirm severe injuries from the strikes, with him reportedly in a secure bunker under medical care and delegating authority to IRGC generals during faltering US ceasefire talks over the Strait of Hormuz blockade. Iranian officials and Russia's envoy insist he remains in-country and in full health, while Israeli PM Netanyahu described him as alive but limited in power; upcoming negotiations or escalations could clarify his status and sway market odds on departure.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Mar 24, 2026, 4:24 PM ET
거래량
$1,121,319종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Mar 24, 2026, 4:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei, appointed Iran's Supreme Leader after his father Ali Khamenei's death in US-Israeli airstrikes in early 2026, has made no public appearances since March, fueling trader speculation on his health and potential exile amid regime instability. Recent reports confirm severe injuries from the strikes, with him reportedly in a secure bunker under medical care and delegating authority to IRGC generals during faltering US ceasefire talks over the Strait of Hormuz blockade. Iranian officials and Russia's envoy insist he remains in-country and in full health, while Israeli PM Netanyahu described him as alive but limited in power; upcoming negotiations or escalations could clarify his status and sway market odds on departure.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$1,121,319종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Mar 24, 2026, 4:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei, appointed Iran's Supreme Leader after his father Ali Khamenei's death in US-Israeli airstrikes in early 2026, has made no public appearances since March, fueling trader speculation on his health and potential exile amid regime instability. Recent reports confirm severe injuries from the strikes, with him reportedly in a secure bunker under medical care and delegating authority to IRGC generals during faltering US ceasefire talks over the Strait of Hormuz blockade. Iranian officials and Russia's envoy insist he remains in-country and in full health, while Israeli PM Netanyahu described him as alive but limited in power; upcoming negotiations or escalations could clarify his status and sway market odds on departure.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문