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icon for 다음 Claude Opus는... 에 출시되었습니까?

다음 Claude Opus는... 에 출시되었습니까?

icon for 다음 Claude Opus는... 에 출시되었습니까?

다음 Claude Opus는... 에 출시되었습니까?

7월 31일 54%

7월 22일 45%

7월 23일 44%

7월 21일 44%

Polymarket
신규

7월 31일 54%

7월 22일 45%

7월 23일 44%

7월 21일 44%

Polymarket
신규

7월 15일 또는 그 이전

$5 거래량

42%

7월 16일

$0 거래량

42%

7월 17일

$0 거래량

42%

7월 18일

$0 거래량

42%

7월 19일

$0 거래량

42%

7월 20일

$0 거래량

42%

7월 21일

$0 거래량

44%

7월 22일

$0 거래량

45%

7월 23일

$0 거래량

44%

7월 24일

$0 거래량

42%

7월 25일

$0 거래량

42%

7월 26일

$0 거래량

42%

7월 27일

$0 거래량

42%

7월 28일

$0 거래량

42%

7월 29일

$0 거래량

42%

7월 30일

$0 거래량

42%

7월 31일

$2 거래량

54%

7월 31일까지 미출시

$0 거래량

42%

This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public. Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 4.9, Claude Opus 5.0, Opus 5, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader sentiment on the next Claude Opus release reflects Anthropic’s accelerated 2026 cadence of incremental Opus upgrades every 4–8 weeks, with the latest Claude Opus 4.8 launched May 28 emphasizing improved honesty, agentic workflows, and coding benchmarks amid competition from OpenAI and Google models. No major official announcement has surfaced in the past month, leaving the market’s closely clustered July probabilities driven by typical release windows, API deprecation timelines, and developer expectations for further reliability or capability gains. Uncertainty persists around whether the next step will be a 4.x revision or the anticipated Claude 5 Opus generational leap, with earnings, partner integrations, or competitive pressure from rival labs serving as potential near-term catalysts.

This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.

Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 4.9, Claude Opus 5.0, Opus 5, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.

The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$7
종료일
2026.07.31
마켓 개설일
Jul 14, 2026, 9:18 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public. Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 4.9, Claude Opus 5.0, Opus 5, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public. Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 4.9, Claude Opus 5.0, Opus 5, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader sentiment on the next Claude Opus release reflects Anthropic’s accelerated 2026 cadence of incremental Opus upgrades every 4–8 weeks, with the latest Claude Opus 4.8 launched May 28 emphasizing improved honesty, agentic workflows, and coding benchmarks amid competition from OpenAI and Google models. No major official announcement has surfaced in the past month, leaving the market’s closely clustered July probabilities driven by typical release windows, API deprecation timelines, and developer expectations for further reliability or capability gains. Uncertainty persists around whether the next step will be a 4.x revision or the anticipated Claude 5 Opus generational leap, with earnings, partner integrations, or competitive pressure from rival labs serving as potential near-term catalysts.

This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.

Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 4.9, Claude Opus 5.0, Opus 5, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.

The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$7
종료일
2026.07.31
마켓 개설일
Jul 14, 2026, 9:18 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public. Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 4.9, Claude Opus 5.0, Opus 5, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

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자주 묻는 질문

"다음 Claude Opus는... 에 출시되었습니까?"은 18개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 54%의 "7월 31일"이며, 이어서 45%의 "7월 22일"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 54¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 54%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

"다음 Claude Opus는... 에 출시되었습니까?"은 Polymarket에서 새로 생성된 마켓입니다, Jul 14, 2026에 시작됨. 초기 마켓으로서 확률을 설정하고 마켓의 초기 가격 신호를 수립하는 첫 번째 트레이더 중 하나가 될 기회입니다. 이 페이지를 북마크하여 마켓이 성장함에 따라 거래량과 거래 활동을 추적할 수도 있습니다.

"다음 Claude Opus는... 에 출시되었습니까?"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 18개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"다음 Claude Opus는... 에 출시되었습니까?"의 현재 유력 후보는 54%의 "7월 31일"이며, 마켓이 해당 결과에 54%의 확률을 부여합니다. 두 번째로 가까운 결과는 45%의 "7월 22일"입니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들의 주식 매수 및 매도에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트되어 가장 가능성 있는 결과에 대한 최신 집단 시각을 반영합니다. 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 자주 확인하거나 이 페이지를 북마크하세요.

"다음 Claude Opus는... 에 출시되었습니까?"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.