Mark Sutcliffe's position as incumbent mayor seeking a second term anchors trader consensus at 71.5 percent, reflecting his established name recognition and early confirmation of candidacy ahead of the October 26, 2026, municipal election. Recent filings by challengers Jeff Leiper, Neil Saravanamuttoo, and Alex Lawson on the first day nominations opened in May have introduced competition, with Leiper unveiling initial platform elements focused on transit improvements, housing supply, and public safety. April polling data highlighted Sutcliffe's low approval ratings on issues such as transit and affordability, narrowing his lead among decided voters, yet market pricing incorporates the structural advantages of incumbency in Canadian municipal races. Leiper's 20.5 percent share captures his profile as a sitting city councillor, while the remaining candidates trail due to lower visibility at this early stage.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Mark Sutcliffe 72%
Jeff Leiper 21%
Neil Saravanamuttoo 1.9%
Alex Lawson <1%
$12,965 거래량
$12,965 거래량
Mark Sutcliffe
72%
Jeff Leiper
21%
Neil Saravanamuttoo
2%
Alex Lawson
1%
Catherine McKenney
<1%
Mark Sutcliffe 72%
Jeff Leiper 21%
Neil Saravanamuttoo 1.9%
Alex Lawson <1%
$12,965 거래량
$12,965 거래량
Mark Sutcliffe
72%
Jeff Leiper
21%
Neil Saravanamuttoo
2%
Alex Lawson
1%
Catherine McKenney
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.
마켓 개설일: Apr 2, 2026, 4:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Mark Sutcliffe's position as incumbent mayor seeking a second term anchors trader consensus at 71.5 percent, reflecting his established name recognition and early confirmation of candidacy ahead of the October 26, 2026, municipal election. Recent filings by challengers Jeff Leiper, Neil Saravanamuttoo, and Alex Lawson on the first day nominations opened in May have introduced competition, with Leiper unveiling initial platform elements focused on transit improvements, housing supply, and public safety. April polling data highlighted Sutcliffe's low approval ratings on issues such as transit and affordability, narrowing his lead among decided voters, yet market pricing incorporates the structural advantages of incumbency in Canadian municipal races. Leiper's 20.5 percent share captures his profile as a sitting city councillor, while the remaining candidates trail due to lower visibility at this early stage.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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