Former news anchor Janelle Stelson commands 97.5% implied probability in the PA-10 Democratic primary market as the May 19 contest nears, propelled by her fundraising dominance—outpacing rivals by wide margins—and polling leads exceeding 20 points in recent surveys. Her 2024 near-miss against incumbent Rep. Scott Perry provides unmatched name recognition in this competitive district, while Dauphin County Commissioner Justin Douglas and minor candidates like Michael Robinson trail amid low expected primary turnout favoring established frontrunners. Trader consensus reflects minimal viable paths for upsets, though late scandals, unexpected voter mobilization, or absentee ballot disputes could theoretically erode her edge in the final days.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트PA-10 민주당 1차 당선자
PA-10 민주당 1차 당선자
자넬 스텔슨 97.6%
마이클 로빈슨 1.4%
제이슨 캐스 <1%
저스틴 더글라스 <1%
$21,941 거래량
$21,941 거래량
2026.05.19
자넬 스텔슨
98%
마이클 로빈슨
1%
제이슨 캐스
1%
저스틴 더글라스
1%
윌리엄 릴리히
<1%
자넬 스텔슨 97.6%
마이클 로빈슨 1.4%
제이슨 캐스 <1%
저스틴 더글라스 <1%
$21,941 거래량
$21,941 거래량
2026.05.19
자넬 스텔슨
$8,271 거래량
98%
마이클 로빈슨
$1,458 거래량
1%
제이슨 캐스
$9,264 거래량
1%
저스틴 더글라스
$1,294 거래량
1%
윌리엄 릴리히
$1,654 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former news anchor Janelle Stelson commands 97.5% implied probability in the PA-10 Democratic primary market as the May 19 contest nears, propelled by her fundraising dominance—outpacing rivals by wide margins—and polling leads exceeding 20 points in recent surveys. Her 2024 near-miss against incumbent Rep. Scott Perry provides unmatched name recognition in this competitive district, while Dauphin County Commissioner Justin Douglas and minor candidates like Michael Robinson trail amid low expected primary turnout favoring established frontrunners. Trader consensus reflects minimal viable paths for upsets, though late scandals, unexpected voter mobilization, or absentee ballot disputes could theoretically erode her edge in the final days.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
마켓 개설일: Mar 2, 2026, 7:18 PM ET
거래량
$21,941종료일
2026.05.19마켓 개설일
Mar 2, 2026, 7:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former news anchor Janelle Stelson commands 97.5% implied probability in the PA-10 Democratic primary market as the May 19 contest nears, propelled by her fundraising dominance—outpacing rivals by wide margins—and polling leads exceeding 20 points in recent surveys. Her 2024 near-miss against incumbent Rep. Scott Perry provides unmatched name recognition in this competitive district, while Dauphin County Commissioner Justin Douglas and minor candidates like Michael Robinson trail amid low expected primary turnout favoring established frontrunners. Trader consensus reflects minimal viable paths for upsets, though late scandals, unexpected voter mobilization, or absentee ballot disputes could theoretically erode her edge in the final days.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
거래량
$21,941종료일
2026.05.19마켓 개설일
Mar 2, 2026, 7:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Former news anchor Janelle Stelson commands 97.5% implied probability in the PA-10 Democratic primary market as the May 19 contest nears, propelled by her fundraising dominance—outpacing rivals by wide margins—and polling leads exceeding 20 points in recent surveys. Her 2024 near-miss against incumbent Rep. Scott Perry provides unmatched name recognition in this competitive district, while Dauphin County Commissioner Justin Douglas and minor candidates like Michael Robinson trail amid low expected primary turnout favoring established frontrunners. Trader consensus reflects minimal viable paths for upsets, though late scandals, unexpected voter mobilization, or absentee ballot disputes could theoretically erode her edge in the final days.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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