SpaceX’s confidential SEC filing in early April has anchored trader sentiment around its planned June 2026 IPO, with expectations centered on a $1.75–2 trillion closing market cap driven by Starlink’s rapid subscriber growth and launch cadence dominance. Recent secondary-market trades have valued the company above $1.5 trillion, reflecting strong demand for its reusable rocket fleet and satellite broadband revenue projected to reach $22–24 billion in 2026. Key catalysts include the roadshow starting June 8 and Starship flight-test milestones that could expand addressable markets in orbital services and direct-to-cell connectivity. Competitive positioning against legacy launch providers and regulatory clarity on spectrum remain swing factors, while the elevated revenue multiple leaves room for volatility if near-term execution slips.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$1,632,381 거래량
$1,632,381 거래량
2027.12.31
>1조 달러
96%
1조 2천억 달러 이상
96%
1.4조 달러 이상
92%
1.6조 달러 초과
91%
>1.8조 달러
78%
>2조 달러
65%
>2.2조 달러
48%
2.4조 달러 초과
36%
3조 달러 초과
16%
$1,632,381 거래량
$1,632,381 거래량
2027.12.31
>1조 달러
$316,900 거래량
96%
1조 2천억 달러 이상
$216,264 거래량
96%
1.4조 달러 이상
$97,710 거래량
92%
1.6조 달러 초과
$74,337 거래량
91%
>1.8조 달러
$56,112 거래량
78%
>2조 달러
$232,500 거래량
65%
>2.2조 달러
$49,296 거래량
48%
2.4조 달러 초과
$137,044 거래량
36%
3조 달러 초과
$452,216 거래량
16%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.SpaceX’s confidential SEC filing in early April has anchored trader sentiment around its planned June 2026 IPO, with expectations centered on a $1.75–2 trillion closing market cap driven by Starlink’s rapid subscriber growth and launch cadence dominance. Recent secondary-market trades have valued the company above $1.5 trillion, reflecting strong demand for its reusable rocket fleet and satellite broadband revenue projected to reach $22–24 billion in 2026. Key catalysts include the roadshow starting June 8 and Starship flight-test milestones that could expand addressable markets in orbital services and direct-to-cell connectivity. Competitive positioning against legacy launch providers and regulatory clarity on spectrum remain swing factors, while the elevated revenue multiple leaves room for volatility if near-term execution slips.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
마켓 개설일: Feb 3, 2026, 1:50 PM ET
거래량
$1,632,381종료일
2027.12.31마켓 개설일
Feb 3, 2026, 1:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.SpaceX’s confidential SEC filing in early April has anchored trader sentiment around its planned June 2026 IPO, with expectations centered on a $1.75–2 trillion closing market cap driven by Starlink’s rapid subscriber growth and launch cadence dominance. Recent secondary-market trades have valued the company above $1.5 trillion, reflecting strong demand for its reusable rocket fleet and satellite broadband revenue projected to reach $22–24 billion in 2026. Key catalysts include the roadshow starting June 8 and Starship flight-test milestones that could expand addressable markets in orbital services and direct-to-cell connectivity. Competitive positioning against legacy launch providers and regulatory clarity on spectrum remain swing factors, while the elevated revenue multiple leaves room for volatility if near-term execution slips.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
거래량
$1,632,381종료일
2027.12.31마켓 개설일
Feb 3, 2026, 1:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...SpaceX’s confidential SEC filing in early April has anchored trader sentiment around its planned June 2026 IPO, with expectations centered on a $1.75–2 trillion closing market cap driven by Starlink’s rapid subscriber growth and launch cadence dominance. Recent secondary-market trades have valued the company above $1.5 trillion, reflecting strong demand for its reusable rocket fleet and satellite broadband revenue projected to reach $22–24 billion in 2026. Key catalysts include the roadshow starting June 8 and Starship flight-test milestones that could expand addressable markets in orbital services and direct-to-cell connectivity. Competitive positioning against legacy launch providers and regulatory clarity on spectrum remain swing factors, while the elevated revenue multiple leaves room for volatility if near-term execution slips.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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