SpaceX's accelerated IPO timeline, with a Nasdaq listing targeted for June 12 and a roadshow starting June 4, stands as the dominant factor shaping trader views on closing market cap. Recent secondary share sales valued the company at roughly $800 billion, while confidential SEC filings and reports point to IPO targets between $1.5 trillion and $1.75 trillion, potentially the largest ever, driven by Starship reusability milestones, Starlink's expanding satellite network, and plans for space-based AI infrastructure. This positions the outcome around high single- to low double-digit trillion-dollar thresholds, with momentum from faster-than-expected regulatory progress and strong institutional demand tempered by execution risks in scaling launch cadence and regulatory approvals for new orbital capabilities.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$1,636,195 거래량
$1,636,195 거래량
2027.12.31
>1조 달러
96%
1조 2천억 달러 이상
95%
1.4조 달러 이상
93%
1.6조 달러 초과
90%
>1.8조 달러
81%
>2조 달러
66%
>2.2조 달러
48%
2.4조 달러 초과
36%
3조 달러 초과
16%
$1,636,195 거래량
$1,636,195 거래량
2027.12.31
>1조 달러
$317,048 거래량
96%
1조 2천억 달러 이상
$216,553 거래량
95%
1.4조 달러 이상
$97,759 거래량
93%
1.6조 달러 초과
$74,547 거래량
90%
>1.8조 달러
$56,263 거래량
81%
>2조 달러
$234,551 거래량
66%
>2.2조 달러
$49,296 거래량
48%
2.4조 달러 초과
$137,344 거래량
36%
3조 달러 초과
$452,834 거래량
16%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.SpaceX's accelerated IPO timeline, with a Nasdaq listing targeted for June 12 and a roadshow starting June 4, stands as the dominant factor shaping trader views on closing market cap. Recent secondary share sales valued the company at roughly $800 billion, while confidential SEC filings and reports point to IPO targets between $1.5 trillion and $1.75 trillion, potentially the largest ever, driven by Starship reusability milestones, Starlink's expanding satellite network, and plans for space-based AI infrastructure. This positions the outcome around high single- to low double-digit trillion-dollar thresholds, with momentum from faster-than-expected regulatory progress and strong institutional demand tempered by execution risks in scaling launch cadence and regulatory approvals for new orbital capabilities.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
마켓 개설일: Dec 11, 2025, 3:57 PM ET
거래량
$1,636,195종료일
2027.12.31마켓 개설일
Dec 11, 2025, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.SpaceX's accelerated IPO timeline, with a Nasdaq listing targeted for June 12 and a roadshow starting June 4, stands as the dominant factor shaping trader views on closing market cap. Recent secondary share sales valued the company at roughly $800 billion, while confidential SEC filings and reports point to IPO targets between $1.5 trillion and $1.75 trillion, potentially the largest ever, driven by Starship reusability milestones, Starlink's expanding satellite network, and plans for space-based AI infrastructure. This positions the outcome around high single- to low double-digit trillion-dollar thresholds, with momentum from faster-than-expected regulatory progress and strong institutional demand tempered by execution risks in scaling launch cadence and regulatory approvals for new orbital capabilities.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
거래량
$1,636,195종료일
2027.12.31마켓 개설일
Dec 11, 2025, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...SpaceX's accelerated IPO timeline, with a Nasdaq listing targeted for June 12 and a roadshow starting June 4, stands as the dominant factor shaping trader views on closing market cap. Recent secondary share sales valued the company at roughly $800 billion, while confidential SEC filings and reports point to IPO targets between $1.5 trillion and $1.75 trillion, potentially the largest ever, driven by Starship reusability milestones, Starlink's expanding satellite network, and plans for space-based AI infrastructure. This positions the outcome around high single- to low double-digit trillion-dollar thresholds, with momentum from faster-than-expected regulatory progress and strong institutional demand tempered by execution risks in scaling launch cadence and regulatory approvals for new orbital capabilities.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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