Turkey’s ruling AK Party continues preparatory work on a new civilian constitution through its internal commission, with recent statements from Justice Minister Yilmaz Tunç and senior officials in May 2026 emphasizing the need to address national security threats and outdated provisions in the 1982 charter. However, advancing any formal draft or referendum requires at least 360 parliamentary votes out of 600 seats, a threshold that currently lacks cross-party backing amid opposition concerns over potential term-limit adjustments. Ongoing talks with the PKK and broader legislative priorities have further slowed momentum, leaving the process at the consultation stage without a firm 2026 timeline. Traders appear to price in these structural and political hurdles, viewing substantial progress toward adoption or major reform before year-end as unlikely under present conditions.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.12.31
신규
신규
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Turkey’s ruling AK Party continues preparatory work on a new civilian constitution through its internal commission, with recent statements from Justice Minister Yilmaz Tunç and senior officials in May 2026 emphasizing the need to address national security threats and outdated provisions in the 1982 charter. However, advancing any formal draft or referendum requires at least 360 parliamentary votes out of 600 seats, a threshold that currently lacks cross-party backing amid opposition concerns over potential term-limit adjustments. Ongoing talks with the PKK and broader legislative priorities have further slowed momentum, leaving the process at the consultation stage without a firm 2026 timeline. Traders appear to price in these structural and political hurdles, viewing substantial progress toward adoption or major reform before year-end as unlikely under present conditions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Apr 1, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
거래량
$1,631종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Apr 1, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Turkey’s ruling AK Party continues preparatory work on a new civilian constitution through its internal commission, with recent statements from Justice Minister Yilmaz Tunç and senior officials in May 2026 emphasizing the need to address national security threats and outdated provisions in the 1982 charter. However, advancing any formal draft or referendum requires at least 360 parliamentary votes out of 600 seats, a threshold that currently lacks cross-party backing amid opposition concerns over potential term-limit adjustments. Ongoing talks with the PKK and broader legislative priorities have further slowed momentum, leaving the process at the consultation stage without a firm 2026 timeline. Traders appear to price in these structural and political hurdles, viewing substantial progress toward adoption or major reform before year-end as unlikely under present conditions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$1,631종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Apr 1, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Turkey’s ruling AK Party continues preparatory work on a new civilian constitution through its internal commission, with recent statements from Justice Minister Yilmaz Tunç and senior officials in May 2026 emphasizing the need to address national security threats and outdated provisions in the 1982 charter. However, advancing any formal draft or referendum requires at least 360 parliamentary votes out of 600 seats, a threshold that currently lacks cross-party backing amid opposition concerns over potential term-limit adjustments. Ongoing talks with the PKK and broader legislative priorities have further slowed momentum, leaving the process at the consultation stage without a firm 2026 timeline. Traders appear to price in these structural and political hurdles, viewing substantial progress toward adoption or major reform before year-end as unlikely under present conditions.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문