Nicolás Maduro maintains his leading position among traders due to sustained military backing, institutional dominance, and the absence of viable internal challenges since the disputed 2024 presidential vote. Delcy Rodríguez ranks second as a senior regime figure positioned for continuity in the event of transition. Opposition leaders such as María Corina Machado remain constrained by legal and political barriers that limit their near-term influence, while other names reflect low-probability scenarios tied to external diplomatic pressure or unforeseen vacancies. Ongoing U.S. sanctions, regional diplomatic alignments, and Venezuela’s economic conditions continue to shape assessments of stability through the end of 2026, with no major scheduled electoral or constitutional events altering the current trajectory in the interim.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트니콜라스 마두로 64.1%
델시 로드리게스 21%
마리아 코리나 마차도 7%
호르헤 로드리게스 1.1%
$88,271,148 거래량
$88,271,148 거래량
2026.12.31
니콜라스 마두로
64%
델시 로드리게스
21%
마리아 코리나 마차도
7%
호르헤 로드리게스
1%
에드문도 곤살레스
1%
도널드 트럼프
1%
디오스다도 카베요 론돈
1%
국가 원수 없음
1%
디노라 피게라
<1%
블라디미르 파드리노 로페스
<1%
에반 페투스
<1%
댄 케인
<1%
마르코 루비오
<1%
피트 헥셋
<1%
프랭크 도노반
<1%
리처드 그레넬
<1%
니콜라스 마두로 64.1%
델시 로드리게스 21%
마리아 코리나 마차도 7%
호르헤 로드리게스 1.1%
$88,271,148 거래량
$88,271,148 거래량
2026.12.31
니콜라스 마두로
$1,706,096 거래량
64%
델시 로드리게스
$1,597,675 거래량
21%
마리아 코리나 마차도
$1,056,773 거래량
7%
호르헤 로드리게스
$1,003,219 거래량
1%
에드문도 곤살레스
$828,067 거래량
1%
도널드 트럼프
$913,215 거래량
1%
디오스다도 카베요 론돈
$1,685,546 거래량
1%
국가 원수 없음
$1,078,161 거래량
1%
디노라 피게라
$2,339,330 거래량
<1%
블라디미르 파드리노 로페스
$666,521 거래량
<1%
에반 페투스
$5,165,407 거래량
<1%
댄 케인
$3,572,859 거래량
<1%
마르코 루비오
$981,562 거래량
<1%
피트 헥셋
$8,600,807 거래량
<1%
프랭크 도노반
$25,057,050 거래량
<1%
리처드 그레넬
$32,018,860 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Nicolás Maduro maintains his leading position among traders due to sustained military backing, institutional dominance, and the absence of viable internal challenges since the disputed 2024 presidential vote. Delcy Rodríguez ranks second as a senior regime figure positioned for continuity in the event of transition. Opposition leaders such as María Corina Machado remain constrained by legal and political barriers that limit their near-term influence, while other names reflect low-probability scenarios tied to external diplomatic pressure or unforeseen vacancies. Ongoing U.S. sanctions, regional diplomatic alignments, and Venezuela’s economic conditions continue to shape assessments of stability through the end of 2026, with no major scheduled electoral or constitutional events altering the current trajectory in the interim.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
마켓 개설일: Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
거래량
$88,271,148종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Nicolás Maduro maintains his leading position among traders due to sustained military backing, institutional dominance, and the absence of viable internal challenges since the disputed 2024 presidential vote. Delcy Rodríguez ranks second as a senior regime figure positioned for continuity in the event of transition. Opposition leaders such as María Corina Machado remain constrained by legal and political barriers that limit their near-term influence, while other names reflect low-probability scenarios tied to external diplomatic pressure or unforeseen vacancies. Ongoing U.S. sanctions, regional diplomatic alignments, and Venezuela’s economic conditions continue to shape assessments of stability through the end of 2026, with no major scheduled electoral or constitutional events altering the current trajectory in the interim.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
거래량
$88,271,148종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Nicolás Maduro maintains his leading position among traders due to sustained military backing, institutional dominance, and the absence of viable internal challenges since the disputed 2024 presidential vote. Delcy Rodríguez ranks second as a senior regime figure positioned for continuity in the event of transition. Opposition leaders such as María Corina Machado remain constrained by legal and political barriers that limit their near-term influence, while other names reflect low-probability scenarios tied to external diplomatic pressure or unforeseen vacancies. Ongoing U.S. sanctions, regional diplomatic alignments, and Venezuela’s economic conditions continue to shape assessments of stability through the end of 2026, with no major scheduled electoral or constitutional events altering the current trajectory in the interim.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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