Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Avengers: Doomsday with a 62.5% implied probability for 2026's biggest opening weekend, driven by explosive long-lead tracking reports from early May highlighting massive MCU event hype, Robert Downey Jr.'s Doctor Doom return, and the Russo brothers' direction—projected to shatter the current $97 million record set by the Michael Jackson biopic in late April. Christopher Nolan's The Odyssey trails at 41.7%, bolstered by its IMAX spectacle, star-studded cast including Matt Damon and Tom Holland, and prestige momentum from recent trailer buzz ahead of its July 17 release. Spider-Man: Brand New Day's 32% odds stem from its March trailer shattering view records, signaling $120 million-plus domestic potential on July 31, while Toy Story 5 eyes family audiences for a June 19 debut. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie's April opening fell short despite multi-week #1 runs, capping its 15.8% chances; watch presales and CinemaCon updates for shifts before summer blockbusters arrive.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday 62%
The Odyssey 37.8%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 32%
Toy Story 5 19.2%
$12,840 거래량
$12,840 거래량
2026.12.31
Avengers: Doomsday
62%
The Odyssey
38%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
32%
Toy Story 5
19%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
13%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
16%
Dune: Messiah
1%
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu
1%
Avengers: Doomsday 62%
The Odyssey 37.8%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 32%
Toy Story 5 19.2%
$12,840 거래량
$12,840 거래량
2026.12.31
Avengers: Doomsday
$715 거래량
62%
The Odyssey
$481 거래량
38%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$585 거래량
32%
Toy Story 5
$459 거래량
19%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
$448 거래량
13%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
$798 거래량
16%
Dune: Messiah
$507 거래량
1%
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu
$482 거래량
1%
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Avengers: Doomsday with a 62.5% implied probability for 2026's biggest opening weekend, driven by explosive long-lead tracking reports from early May highlighting massive MCU event hype, Robert Downey Jr.'s Doctor Doom return, and the Russo brothers' direction—projected to shatter the current $97 million record set by the Michael Jackson biopic in late April. Christopher Nolan's The Odyssey trails at 41.7%, bolstered by its IMAX spectacle, star-studded cast including Matt Damon and Tom Holland, and prestige momentum from recent trailer buzz ahead of its July 17 release. Spider-Man: Brand New Day's 32% odds stem from its March trailer shattering view records, signaling $120 million-plus domestic potential on July 31, while Toy Story 5 eyes family audiences for a June 19 debut. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie's April opening fell short despite multi-week #1 runs, capping its 15.8% chances; watch presales and CinemaCon updates for shifts before summer blockbusters arrive.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
마켓 개설일: Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
거래량
$12,840종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Avengers: Doomsday with a 62.5% implied probability for 2026's biggest opening weekend, driven by explosive long-lead tracking reports from early May highlighting massive MCU event hype, Robert Downey Jr.'s Doctor Doom return, and the Russo brothers' direction—projected to shatter the current $97 million record set by the Michael Jackson biopic in late April. Christopher Nolan's The Odyssey trails at 41.7%, bolstered by its IMAX spectacle, star-studded cast including Matt Damon and Tom Holland, and prestige momentum from recent trailer buzz ahead of its July 17 release. Spider-Man: Brand New Day's 32% odds stem from its March trailer shattering view records, signaling $120 million-plus domestic potential on July 31, while Toy Story 5 eyes family audiences for a June 19 debut. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie's April opening fell short despite multi-week #1 runs, capping its 15.8% chances; watch presales and CinemaCon updates for shifts before summer blockbusters arrive.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
거래량
$12,840종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Avengers: Doomsday with a 62.5% implied probability for 2026's biggest opening weekend, driven by explosive long-lead tracking reports from early May highlighting massive MCU event hype, Robert Downey Jr.'s Doctor Doom return, and the Russo brothers' direction—projected to shatter the current $97 million record set by the Michael Jackson biopic in late April. Christopher Nolan's The Odyssey trails at 41.7%, bolstered by its IMAX spectacle, star-studded cast including Matt Damon and Tom Holland, and prestige momentum from recent trailer buzz ahead of its July 17 release. Spider-Man: Brand New Day's 32% odds stem from its March trailer shattering view records, signaling $120 million-plus domestic potential on July 31, while Toy Story 5 eyes family audiences for a June 19 debut. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie's April opening fell short despite multi-week #1 runs, capping its 15.8% chances; watch presales and CinemaCon updates for shifts before summer blockbusters arrive.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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