Mid-decade redistricting has advanced rapidly ahead of the 2026 midterms, with several Republican-led legislatures enacting revised congressional maps in states including Texas, North Carolina, Ohio, Missouri, Tennessee, and Florida, often citing population shifts and partisan advantage. A U.S. Supreme Court ruling in late April 2026 struck down Louisiana’s map featuring multiple majority-Black districts under Voting Rights Act standards, prompting special legislative sessions in Louisiana, Alabama, and Tennessee to consider new lines, while ongoing litigation continues in Georgia and Alabama. Democratic efforts produced new maps in California, though some face court challenges, and a voter-approved plan in Virginia was rejected by the state Supreme Court on procedural grounds. These developments, driven by legislative votes, gubernatorial approvals, and federal court interpretations, determine which states will use updated districts for candidate filing and the November election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
$262,781 거래량
California
97%
Texas
94%
North Carolina
98%
Ohio
94%
Utah
88%
Florida
62%
Louisiana
90%
Missouri
86%
Virginia
7%
Alabama
80%
South Carolina
79%
Georgia
13%
Kansas
9%
New Jersey
6%
Indiana
6%
Washington
7%
Nebraska
6%
Illinois
3%
Minnesota
3%
New York
13%
Maryland
17%
Wisconsin
5%
$262,781 거래량
California
97%
Texas
94%
North Carolina
98%
Ohio
94%
Utah
88%
Florida
62%
Louisiana
90%
Missouri
86%
Virginia
7%
Alabama
80%
South Carolina
79%
Georgia
13%
Kansas
9%
New Jersey
6%
Indiana
6%
Washington
7%
Nebraska
6%
Illinois
3%
Minnesota
3%
New York
13%
Maryland
17%
Wisconsin
5%
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Mid-decade redistricting has advanced rapidly ahead of the 2026 midterms, with several Republican-led legislatures enacting revised congressional maps in states including Texas, North Carolina, Ohio, Missouri, Tennessee, and Florida, often citing population shifts and partisan advantage. A U.S. Supreme Court ruling in late April 2026 struck down Louisiana’s map featuring multiple majority-Black districts under Voting Rights Act standards, prompting special legislative sessions in Louisiana, Alabama, and Tennessee to consider new lines, while ongoing litigation continues in Georgia and Alabama. Democratic efforts produced new maps in California, though some face court challenges, and a voter-approved plan in Virginia was rejected by the state Supreme Court on procedural grounds. These developments, driven by legislative votes, gubernatorial approvals, and federal court interpretations, determine which states will use updated districts for candidate filing and the November election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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