Apple's March 2026 launches of M5-powered MacBook Air and MacBook Pro models reinforced the 91.3% market-implied odds against a cellular-equipped release by June 30, as both relied on Continuity features like iPhone Instant Hotspot rather than built-in 5G or LTE modems. Development efforts for Apple's custom C2 modem and a major redesign featuring OLED displays and touchscreen capabilities remain aligned with late-2026 or early-2027 timelines, consistent with the company's typical hardware cadence and absence of recent FCC filings or supply-chain signals. Traders assign high probability to this outcome given the short runway before the deadline and historical focus on software at WWDC in early June, though a surprise announcement could still shift sentiment if credible certification evidence emerges.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.06.30
신규
신규
2026.06.30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a "MacBook" product with cellular connectivity by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "MacBook". A product that would accomplish a similar function will not qualify, the name must actually be "MacBook".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple's March 2026 launches of M5-powered MacBook Air and MacBook Pro models reinforced the 91.3% market-implied odds against a cellular-equipped release by June 30, as both relied on Continuity features like iPhone Instant Hotspot rather than built-in 5G or LTE modems. Development efforts for Apple's custom C2 modem and a major redesign featuring OLED displays and touchscreen capabilities remain aligned with late-2026 or early-2027 timelines, consistent with the company's typical hardware cadence and absence of recent FCC filings or supply-chain signals. Traders assign high probability to this outcome given the short runway before the deadline and historical focus on software at WWDC in early June, though a surprise announcement could still shift sentiment if credible certification evidence emerges.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a "MacBook" product with cellular connectivity by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "MacBook". A product that would accomplish a similar function will not qualify, the name must actually be "MacBook".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "MacBook". A product that would accomplish a similar function will not qualify, the name must actually be "MacBook".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Sep 25, 2025, 5:38 PM ET
거래량
$6,864종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Sep 25, 2025, 5:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a "MacBook" product with cellular connectivity by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "MacBook". A product that would accomplish a similar function will not qualify, the name must actually be "MacBook".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple's March 2026 launches of M5-powered MacBook Air and MacBook Pro models reinforced the 91.3% market-implied odds against a cellular-equipped release by June 30, as both relied on Continuity features like iPhone Instant Hotspot rather than built-in 5G or LTE modems. Development efforts for Apple's custom C2 modem and a major redesign featuring OLED displays and touchscreen capabilities remain aligned with late-2026 or early-2027 timelines, consistent with the company's typical hardware cadence and absence of recent FCC filings or supply-chain signals. Traders assign high probability to this outcome given the short runway before the deadline and historical focus on software at WWDC in early June, though a surprise announcement could still shift sentiment if credible certification evidence emerges.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a "MacBook" product with cellular connectivity by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "MacBook". A product that would accomplish a similar function will not qualify, the name must actually be "MacBook".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "MacBook". A product that would accomplish a similar function will not qualify, the name must actually be "MacBook".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$6,864종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Sep 25, 2025, 5:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Apple's March 2026 launches of M5-powered MacBook Air and MacBook Pro models reinforced the 91.3% market-implied odds against a cellular-equipped release by June 30, as both relied on Continuity features like iPhone Instant Hotspot rather than built-in 5G or LTE modems. Development efforts for Apple's custom C2 modem and a major redesign featuring OLED displays and touchscreen capabilities remain aligned with late-2026 or early-2027 timelines, consistent with the company's typical hardware cadence and absence of recent FCC filings or supply-chain signals. Traders assign high probability to this outcome given the short runway before the deadline and historical focus on software at WWDC in early June, though a surprise announcement could still shift sentiment if credible certification evidence emerges.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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