Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects overwhelming skepticism at 93.7% implied probability against Elon Musk securing full custody of his son Romulus with Ashley St. Clair, driven by the absence of any confirmed court filing since Musk's January 12, 2026, X post threatening action over her public support for transgender rights. St. Clair's February 2025 New York petition for sole custody and paternity—later verified—positions her as primary caregiver, with Musk reportedly meeting the child only three times amid financial disputes including reduced support. Courts historically favor maternal stability in celebrity custody battles, as seen in Musk's prior Grimes disputes. Realistic upsets require Musk filing aggressively, proving unfitness claims, or a surprise settlement, though no hearings are announced.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트일론 머스크는 세인트 클레어 아이의 양육권을 완전히 얻게 될까요?
일론 머스크는 세인트 클레어 아이의 양육권을 완전히 얻게 될까요?
신규
신규
2026.12.31
신규
신규
2026.12.31
On January 12, Elon Musk announced he would be filing for full custody of the child he shares with Ashley St. Clair. (see: https://www.eonline.com/news/1427282/elon-musk-filing-for-full-custody-of-son-with-ashley-st-clair)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is awarded sole legal custody, or primary residential/physical custody of his son Romulus in the form of a final order by any U.S. court by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary custody orders or interim arrangements will not qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution unless they become final orders by the stated market deadline.
This market will resolve immediately to "No" if all relevant court proceedings permanently cease, or are dropped by either party.
This market will resolve based on announcements from Elon Musk, Ashley St. Clair, their official legal or social media representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects overwhelming skepticism at 93.7% implied probability against Elon Musk securing full custody of his son Romulus with Ashley St. Clair, driven by the absence of any confirmed court filing since Musk's January 12, 2026, X post threatening action over her public support for transgender rights. St. Clair's February 2025 New York petition for sole custody and paternity—later verified—positions her as primary caregiver, with Musk reportedly meeting the child only three times amid financial disputes including reduced support. Courts historically favor maternal stability in celebrity custody battles, as seen in Musk's prior Grimes disputes. Realistic upsets require Musk filing aggressively, proving unfitness claims, or a surprise settlement, though no hearings are announced.
On January 12, Elon Musk announced he would be filing for full custody of the child he shares with Ashley St. Clair. (see: https://www.eonline.com/news/1427282/elon-musk-filing-for-full-custody-of-son-with-ashley-st-clair)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is awarded sole legal custody, or primary residential/physical custody of his son Romulus in the form of a final order by any U.S. court by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary custody orders or interim arrangements will not qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution unless they become final orders by the stated market deadline.
This market will resolve immediately to "No" if all relevant court proceedings permanently cease, or are dropped by either party.
This market will resolve based on announcements from Elon Musk, Ashley St. Clair, their official legal or social media representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is awarded sole legal custody, or primary residential/physical custody of his son Romulus in the form of a final order by any U.S. court by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary custody orders or interim arrangements will not qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution unless they become final orders by the stated market deadline.
This market will resolve immediately to "No" if all relevant court proceedings permanently cease, or are dropped by either party.
This market will resolve based on announcements from Elon Musk, Ashley St. Clair, their official legal or social media representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Jan 14, 2026, 11:02 AM ET
거래량
$8,965종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 14, 2026, 11:02 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On January 12, Elon Musk announced he would be filing for full custody of the child he shares with Ashley St. Clair. (see: https://www.eonline.com/news/1427282/elon-musk-filing-for-full-custody-of-son-with-ashley-st-clair)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is awarded sole legal custody, or primary residential/physical custody of his son Romulus in the form of a final order by any U.S. court by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary custody orders or interim arrangements will not qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution unless they become final orders by the stated market deadline.
This market will resolve immediately to "No" if all relevant court proceedings permanently cease, or are dropped by either party.
This market will resolve based on announcements from Elon Musk, Ashley St. Clair, their official legal or social media representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects overwhelming skepticism at 93.7% implied probability against Elon Musk securing full custody of his son Romulus with Ashley St. Clair, driven by the absence of any confirmed court filing since Musk's January 12, 2026, X post threatening action over her public support for transgender rights. St. Clair's February 2025 New York petition for sole custody and paternity—later verified—positions her as primary caregiver, with Musk reportedly meeting the child only three times amid financial disputes including reduced support. Courts historically favor maternal stability in celebrity custody battles, as seen in Musk's prior Grimes disputes. Realistic upsets require Musk filing aggressively, proving unfitness claims, or a surprise settlement, though no hearings are announced.
On January 12, Elon Musk announced he would be filing for full custody of the child he shares with Ashley St. Clair. (see: https://www.eonline.com/news/1427282/elon-musk-filing-for-full-custody-of-son-with-ashley-st-clair)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is awarded sole legal custody, or primary residential/physical custody of his son Romulus in the form of a final order by any U.S. court by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary custody orders or interim arrangements will not qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution unless they become final orders by the stated market deadline.
This market will resolve immediately to "No" if all relevant court proceedings permanently cease, or are dropped by either party.
This market will resolve based on announcements from Elon Musk, Ashley St. Clair, their official legal or social media representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is awarded sole legal custody, or primary residential/physical custody of his son Romulus in the form of a final order by any U.S. court by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary custody orders or interim arrangements will not qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution unless they become final orders by the stated market deadline.
This market will resolve immediately to "No" if all relevant court proceedings permanently cease, or are dropped by either party.
This market will resolve based on announcements from Elon Musk, Ashley St. Clair, their official legal or social media representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$8,965종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 14, 2026, 11:02 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects overwhelming skepticism at 93.7% implied probability against Elon Musk securing full custody of his son Romulus with Ashley St. Clair, driven by the absence of any confirmed court filing since Musk's January 12, 2026, X post threatening action over her public support for transgender rights. St. Clair's February 2025 New York petition for sole custody and paternity—later verified—positions her as primary caregiver, with Musk reportedly meeting the child only three times amid financial disputes including reduced support. Courts historically favor maternal stability in celebrity custody battles, as seen in Musk's prior Grimes disputes. Realistic upsets require Musk filing aggressively, proving unfitness claims, or a surprise settlement, though no hearings are announced.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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