Early frontrunner positioning by male candidates such as California Governor Gavin Newsom, who leads national polling averages and secured a major May endorsement from a top donor, has anchored trader consensus on a male 2028 Democratic nominee. Recent signals from former Vice President Kamala Harris about considering another run and sustained visibility for Governor Gretchen Whitmer have kept the female option in play, yet both trail in early surveys and market pricing amid party reflection on prior cycles. The wide-open field, with figures like Josh Shapiro and Pete Buttigieg also active, reinforces uncertainty while current implied probabilities reflect the structural edge for men at this stage. Scheduled 2026 midterm results and primary polling shifts could alter the balance before formal declarations accelerate.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2028.11.07
신규
신규
2028.11.07
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Early frontrunner positioning by male candidates such as California Governor Gavin Newsom, who leads national polling averages and secured a major May endorsement from a top donor, has anchored trader consensus on a male 2028 Democratic nominee. Recent signals from former Vice President Kamala Harris about considering another run and sustained visibility for Governor Gretchen Whitmer have kept the female option in play, yet both trail in early surveys and market pricing amid party reflection on prior cycles. The wide-open field, with figures like Josh Shapiro and Pete Buttigieg also active, reinforces uncertainty while current implied probabilities reflect the structural edge for men at this stage. Scheduled 2026 midterm results and primary polling shifts could alter the balance before formal declarations accelerate.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
마켓 개설일: Feb 17, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
거래량
$1,187종료일
2028.11.07마켓 개설일
Feb 17, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Early frontrunner positioning by male candidates such as California Governor Gavin Newsom, who leads national polling averages and secured a major May endorsement from a top donor, has anchored trader consensus on a male 2028 Democratic nominee. Recent signals from former Vice President Kamala Harris about considering another run and sustained visibility for Governor Gretchen Whitmer have kept the female option in play, yet both trail in early surveys and market pricing amid party reflection on prior cycles. The wide-open field, with figures like Josh Shapiro and Pete Buttigieg also active, reinforces uncertainty while current implied probabilities reflect the structural edge for men at this stage. Scheduled 2026 midterm results and primary polling shifts could alter the balance before formal declarations accelerate.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
거래량
$1,187종료일
2028.11.07마켓 개설일
Feb 17, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Early frontrunner positioning by male candidates such as California Governor Gavin Newsom, who leads national polling averages and secured a major May endorsement from a top donor, has anchored trader consensus on a male 2028 Democratic nominee. Recent signals from former Vice President Kamala Harris about considering another run and sustained visibility for Governor Gretchen Whitmer have kept the female option in play, yet both trail in early surveys and market pricing amid party reflection on prior cycles. The wide-open field, with figures like Josh Shapiro and Pete Buttigieg also active, reinforces uncertainty while current implied probabilities reflect the structural edge for men at this stage. Scheduled 2026 midterm results and primary polling shifts could alter the balance before formal declarations accelerate.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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