US crude oil inventory markets reflect trader focus on weekly EIA data amid geopolitical supply shocks from the Iran conflict and shifting global balances. Commercial stocks (excluding SPR) have drawn sharply in recent months, falling to levels around 412-434 million barrels as of mid-2026 reports, well below five-year averages, driven by reduced Middle East exports and elevated refinery demand. The latest EIA release for the week ending July 3 showed a 3 million barrel build, reversing prior draws of 3.8-8 million barrels, while EIA's Short-Term Energy Outlook projects continued global inventory declines of 2.2 million barrels per day in Q3 before rebuilding later. Key near-term catalysts include weekly inventory prints through August, refinery utilization rates, import/export flows, and any OPEC+ production adjustments, with seasonal summer demand patterns adding volatility to the path toward the August 28 resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트3억
51%
2억 8,500만
49%
2억 7천만
47%
2억 5,500만
49%
2억 4천만
50%
2억 2,500만
49%
$0.00 거래량
3억
51%
2억 8,500만
49%
2억 7천만
47%
2억 5,500만
49%
2억 4천만
50%
2억 2,500만
49%
This market will resolve as soon as the listed value is reached, or once data has been released for the final week ending on or before August 28, 2026, and the listed value has not been reached.
If data has not been released for the final week ending on or before August 28, 2026, by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Energy Information Administration, specifically the weekly data published for the U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve at https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WCSSTUS1&f=W.
Note: this market’s resolution source publishes weekly values of U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve in thousands of barrels. Thus, this will be the level of specificity used to resolve this market.
마켓 개설일: Jul 14, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve as soon as the listed value is reached, or once data has been released for the final week ending on or before August 28, 2026, and the listed value has not been reached.
If data has not been released for the final week ending on or before August 28, 2026, by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Energy Information Administration, specifically the weekly data published for the U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve at https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WCSSTUS1&f=W.
Note: this market’s resolution source publishes weekly values of U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve in thousands of barrels. Thus, this will be the level of specificity used to resolve this market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...US crude oil inventory markets reflect trader focus on weekly EIA data amid geopolitical supply shocks from the Iran conflict and shifting global balances. Commercial stocks (excluding SPR) have drawn sharply in recent months, falling to levels around 412-434 million barrels as of mid-2026 reports, well below five-year averages, driven by reduced Middle East exports and elevated refinery demand. The latest EIA release for the week ending July 3 showed a 3 million barrel build, reversing prior draws of 3.8-8 million barrels, while EIA's Short-Term Energy Outlook projects continued global inventory declines of 2.2 million barrels per day in Q3 before rebuilding later. Key near-term catalysts include weekly inventory prints through August, refinery utilization rates, import/export flows, and any OPEC+ production adjustments, with seasonal summer demand patterns adding volatility to the path toward the August 28 resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트



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