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스포츠·월드컵

월드컵: 최악의 호스트 국가

icon for 월드컵: 최악의 호스트 국가
스포츠·월드컵

월드컵: 최악의 호스트 국가

Canada 54%

USA 25%

Mexico 12%

Polymarket
신규

Canada 54%

USA 25%

Mexico 12%

Polymarket
신규

Canada

$675 거래량

54%

Mexico

$306 거래량

12%

USA

$592 거래량

25%

This market will resolve in favor of the host nation (Canada, Mexico, United States) that is eliminated at the earliest stage (places lowest) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed Host nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The early stages of the 2026 FIFA World Cup highlight a tight contest among co-hosts Canada, the United States, and Mexico for worst overall placement, driven by comparable roster strengths and variable group paths. Pre-tournament FIFA rankings placed the USMNT and Mexico nearly level in the global top 20, while Canada sat further back, yet all three benefited from automatic qualification and a 48-team field that favors group-stage survival. Mexico opened with a 2-0 win over South Africa in Group A, bolstering momentum, whereas Canada’s defensive record in recent friendlies and the USMNT’s schedule against Paraguay, Australia, and Türkiye create balanced uncertainty. Home crowds, travel factors across North America, and the expanded knockout bracket add variables that compress implied probabilities around Canada and alternative outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on closely matched CONCACAF sides rather than a clear laggard.

This market will resolve in favor of the host nation (Canada, Mexico, United States) that is eliminated at the earliest stage (places lowest) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed Host nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$1,573
종료일
2026.08.03
마켓 개설일
Jun 5, 2026, 7:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve in favor of the host nation (Canada, Mexico, United States) that is eliminated at the earliest stage (places lowest) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed Host nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve in favor of the host nation (Canada, Mexico, United States) that is eliminated at the earliest stage (places lowest) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed Host nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The early stages of the 2026 FIFA World Cup highlight a tight contest among co-hosts Canada, the United States, and Mexico for worst overall placement, driven by comparable roster strengths and variable group paths. Pre-tournament FIFA rankings placed the USMNT and Mexico nearly level in the global top 20, while Canada sat further back, yet all three benefited from automatic qualification and a 48-team field that favors group-stage survival. Mexico opened with a 2-0 win over South Africa in Group A, bolstering momentum, whereas Canada’s defensive record in recent friendlies and the USMNT’s schedule against Paraguay, Australia, and Türkiye create balanced uncertainty. Home crowds, travel factors across North America, and the expanded knockout bracket add variables that compress implied probabilities around Canada and alternative outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on closely matched CONCACAF sides rather than a clear laggard.

This market will resolve in favor of the host nation (Canada, Mexico, United States) that is eliminated at the earliest stage (places lowest) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed Host nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$1,573
종료일
2026.08.03
마켓 개설일
Jun 5, 2026, 7:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve in favor of the host nation (Canada, Mexico, United States) that is eliminated at the earliest stage (places lowest) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed Host nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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자주 묻는 질문

"월드컵: 최악의 호스트 국가"은 3개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 54%의 "Canada"이며, 이어서 25%의 "USA"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 54¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 54%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

"월드컵: 최악의 호스트 국가"은 Polymarket에서 새로 생성된 마켓입니다, Jun 5, 2026에 시작됨. 초기 마켓으로서 확률을 설정하고 마켓의 초기 가격 신호를 수립하는 첫 번째 트레이더 중 하나가 될 기회입니다. 이 페이지를 북마크하여 마켓이 성장함에 따라 거래량과 거래 활동을 추적할 수도 있습니다.

"월드컵: 최악의 호스트 국가"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 3개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"월드컵: 최악의 호스트 국가"의 현재 유력 후보는 54%의 "Canada"이며, 마켓이 해당 결과에 54%의 확률을 부여합니다. 두 번째로 가까운 결과는 25%의 "USA"입니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들의 주식 매수 및 매도에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트되어 가장 가능성 있는 결과에 대한 최신 집단 시각을 반영합니다. 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 자주 확인하거나 이 페이지를 북마크하세요.

"월드컵: 최악의 호스트 국가"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.