Najnowsze wiadomości i prognozy polityczne
4 lis 2026
Najnowsze wiadomości
Zobacz rynki, które najbardziej się zmieniły w ciągu ostatnich 24 godzin
1
Will the Republican Party win the TN-04 House seat?
2%
96%
2
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more?
92%
88%
3
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-06 House seat?
100%
86%
4
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
88%
82%
5
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
8%
81%
6
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 18% or more?
99%
77%
7
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-05 House seat?
92%
77%
8
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?
99%
75%
9
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-09 House seat?
99%
72%
10
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 6%-9%?
94%
71%
11
Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat?
1%
70%
12
Will Jeremy Matlow win the Tallahassee mayoral election?
100%
69%
13
Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?
99%
68%
14
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election?
99%
68%
15
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?
0%
68%
16
Blue mega-tsunami in 2026?
100%
66%
17
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?
100%
66%
18
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-04 House seat?
99%
66%
19
Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?
1%
65%
20
Will the Republican Party win the NV-02 House seat?
1%
64%
21
Will Democrats sweep the Kansas Senate and Governor elections?
97%
62%
22
Will the Republican Party win the FL-09 House seat?
1%
61%
23
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
94%
60%
24
Czy Nithya Raman wygra wybory na burmistrza Los Angeles w 2026 roku?
98%
59%
25
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 12% and 14%?
72%
57%
26
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
100%
55%
27
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat?
99%
54%
28
Will the Republican Party win the CO-05 House seat?
2%
54%
29
Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?
2%
54%
30
Will the Republican Party win the SC-01 House seat?
2%
51%
31
Will the Republican Party win the MN-01 House seat?
12%
50%
32
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-03 House seat?
6%
44%
33
Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat?
1%
41%
34
Will the Republican Party win the MI-04 House seat?
0%
41%
35
Will the Republican Party win the MT-01 House seat?
1%
40%
36
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?
6%
40%
37
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?
100%
39%
38
Will Democrats win exactly 5 House seats in North Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections?
1%
38%
39
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?
0%
23%
40
Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?
86%
22%
41
Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?
59%
16%
42
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?
8%
15%
43
Will the Democrats win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?
100%
11%
44
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
83%
9%
45
Will the Democratic Party hold more governorships after the 2026 midterms?
100%
8%
46
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?
69%
6%
47
Will the Democrats fail to sweep the House and Senate and US gas hit $3.50 by the end of 2026?
0%
6%
48
Czy Partia Demokratyczna będzie kontrolowała Izbę po wyborach śródokresowych w 2026 roku?
100%
5%
49
Czy Pete Hegseth opuści administrację Trumpa przed 2027 rokiem?
44%
5%
50
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
100%
5%