NY-21 remains a solidly Republican-leaning congressional district in upstate New York, with a partisan voting index favoring the GOP by roughly 10 points, which underpins the market's 79.5% consensus for a Republican victory in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Elise Stefanik's decision to pursue the governorship created an open seat, yet the district's consistent electoral history and higher Republican primary turnout have kept Democratic chances limited to 18%. Both parties completed primaries on June 23, nominating Anthony Constantino on the Republican line and Blake Gendebien for Democrats, with forecasters rating the race Solid or Likely Republican. These structural factors, combined with the absence of major recent shifts, sustain trader pricing ahead of the November vote.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNY-21 House Election Winner
NY-21 House Election Winner
$52,748 Wol.
$52,748 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
80%
Democratic Party
18%
$52,748 Wol.
$52,748 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$24,496 Wol.
80%
Democratic Party
$28,252 Wol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).NY-21 remains a solidly Republican-leaning congressional district in upstate New York, with a partisan voting index favoring the GOP by roughly 10 points, which underpins the market's 79.5% consensus for a Republican victory in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Elise Stefanik's decision to pursue the governorship created an open seat, yet the district's consistent electoral history and higher Republican primary turnout have kept Democratic chances limited to 18%. Both parties completed primaries on June 23, nominating Anthony Constantino on the Republican line and Blake Gendebien for Democrats, with forecasters rating the race Solid or Likely Republican. These structural factors, combined with the absence of major recent shifts, sustain trader pricing ahead of the November vote.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Wolumen
$52,748Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).NY-21 remains a solidly Republican-leaning congressional district in upstate New York, with a partisan voting index favoring the GOP by roughly 10 points, which underpins the market's 79.5% consensus for a Republican victory in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Elise Stefanik's decision to pursue the governorship created an open seat, yet the district's consistent electoral history and higher Republican primary turnout have kept Democratic chances limited to 18%. Both parties completed primaries on June 23, nominating Anthony Constantino on the Republican line and Blake Gendebien for Democrats, with forecasters rating the race Solid or Likely Republican. These structural factors, combined with the absence of major recent shifts, sustain trader pricing ahead of the November vote.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$52,748Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...NY-21 remains a solidly Republican-leaning congressional district in upstate New York, with a partisan voting index favoring the GOP by roughly 10 points, which underpins the market's 79.5% consensus for a Republican victory in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Elise Stefanik's decision to pursue the governorship created an open seat, yet the district's consistent electoral history and higher Republican primary turnout have kept Democratic chances limited to 18%. Both parties completed primaries on June 23, nominating Anthony Constantino on the Republican line and Blake Gendebien for Democrats, with forecasters rating the race Solid or Likely Republican. These structural factors, combined with the absence of major recent shifts, sustain trader pricing ahead of the November vote.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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