Emmanuel Macron's two-term limit leaves the 2027 French presidential race open, with the first round set for April and a potential runoff two weeks later. A Paris appeals court ruling expected on July 7 could uphold Marine Le Pen's five-year public-office ban from her 2025 embezzlement conviction, forcing National Rally to turn to Jordan Bardella as its standard-bearer. Jean-Luc Mélenchon confirmed his fourth candidacy in early May, while center-right figures including Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal position themselves as alternatives; the Republicans have already nominated Bruno Retailleau. Left-wing groups are organizing a unity primary to select one contender, and several other declared or exploratory candidates add to a crowded field whose composition will hinge on legal outcomes, party consolidations, and polling trends through the coming year.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$53,943 Wol.

Jean-Luc Mélenchon
89%

Édouard Philippe
88%

Nathalie Arthaud
83%

Bruno Retailleau
73%

Jordan Bardella
71%

Marine Tondelier
55%

Éric Zemmour
56%

Raphaël Glucksmann
55%

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
51%

Dominique de Villepin
50%

François Hollande
45%

Fabien Roussel
49%

David Lisnard
46%

François Ruffin
40%

Gabriel Attal
40%

Sarah Knafo
35%

François Asselineau
29%

Marine Le Pen
29%

Delphine Batho
16%

Bernard Cazeneuve
27%

Gérald Darmanin
18%

Matthieu Pigasse
17%

Manuel Bompard
28%

Xavier Bertrand
15%

Juan Branco
14%

Olivier Faure
14%

Carole Delga
14%

Jérôme Guedj
12%

Laurent Wauquiez
11%

Jean Castex
10%

Ségolène Royal
10%

Michel-Edouard Leclerc
9%

Sébastien Lecornu
9%

Philippe de Villiers
8%

Élisabeth Borne
7%

Manuel Valls
7%

Jean-Michel Fauvergue
7%

Bally Bagayoko
6%

Karim Bouamrane
6%

Clémentine Autain
5%

Mathilde Panot
5%

Valérie Pécresse
4%

François Bayrou
4%

Teddy Riner
4%

Yaël Braun-Pivet
4%

Michel Barnier
3%
$53,943 Wol.

Jean-Luc Mélenchon
89%

Édouard Philippe
88%

Nathalie Arthaud
83%

Bruno Retailleau
73%

Jordan Bardella
71%

Marine Tondelier
55%

Éric Zemmour
56%

Raphaël Glucksmann
55%

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
51%

Dominique de Villepin
50%

François Hollande
45%

Fabien Roussel
49%

David Lisnard
46%

François Ruffin
40%

Gabriel Attal
40%

Sarah Knafo
35%

François Asselineau
29%

Marine Le Pen
29%

Delphine Batho
16%

Bernard Cazeneuve
27%

Gérald Darmanin
18%

Matthieu Pigasse
17%

Manuel Bompard
28%

Xavier Bertrand
15%

Juan Branco
14%

Olivier Faure
14%

Carole Delga
14%

Jérôme Guedj
12%

Laurent Wauquiez
11%

Jean Castex
10%

Ségolène Royal
10%

Michel-Edouard Leclerc
9%

Sébastien Lecornu
9%

Philippe de Villiers
8%

Élisabeth Borne
7%

Manuel Valls
7%

Jean-Michel Fauvergue
7%

Bally Bagayoko
6%

Karim Bouamrane
6%

Clémentine Autain
5%

Mathilde Panot
5%

Valérie Pécresse
4%

François Bayrou
4%

Teddy Riner
4%

Yaël Braun-Pivet
4%

Michel Barnier
3%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Emmanuel Macron's two-term limit leaves the 2027 French presidential race open, with the first round set for April and a potential runoff two weeks later. A Paris appeals court ruling expected on July 7 could uphold Marine Le Pen's five-year public-office ban from her 2025 embezzlement conviction, forcing National Rally to turn to Jordan Bardella as its standard-bearer. Jean-Luc Mélenchon confirmed his fourth candidacy in early May, while center-right figures including Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal position themselves as alternatives; the Republicans have already nominated Bruno Retailleau. Left-wing groups are organizing a unity primary to select one contender, and several other declared or exploratory candidates add to a crowded field whose composition will hinge on legal outcomes, party consolidations, and polling trends through the coming year.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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