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Wybory·Wybory We Francji

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

icon for French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
Wybory·Wybory We Francji

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

NOWE
Apr 23, 2027
Polymarket

$9,815 Wol.

Polymarket

Éric Zemmour

$87 Wol.

41%

Jordan Bardella

$890 Wol.

69%

Michel Barnier

$141 Wol.

11%

Valérie Pécresse

$156 Wol.

12%

Gabriel Attal

$549 Wol.

92%

Élisabeth Borne

$81 Wol.

40%

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$104 Wol.

29%

Jean Castex

$64 Wol.

20%

Gérald Darmanin

$144 Wol.

12%

Sébastien Lecornu

$75 Wol.

44%

François Bayrou

$463 Wol.

9%

Bernard Cazeneuve

$41 Wol.

49%

Carole Delga

$148 Wol.

17%

Olivier Faure

$50 Wol.

48%

François Hollande

$132 Wol.

59%

Raphaël Glucksmann

$81 Wol.

50%

Manuel Bompard

$63 Wol.

16%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$6,383 Wol.

99%

Mathilde Panot

$84 Wol.

7%

Dominique de Villepin

$14 Wol.

46%

Marine Le Pen

$67 Wol.

50%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.French political parties are positioning candidates early for the April 2027 presidential vote, with incumbent Emmanuel Macron term-limited and the far-right National Rally leading most polls. Jean-Luc Mélenchon confirmed his fourth bid in early May 2026, while the left prepares an October 11 unitary primary involving socialists, greens, and other groups to select one nominee. On the center and right, figures such as Gabriel Attal, Édouard Philippe, Gérald Darmanin, and Bruno Retailleau have signaled intentions or secured nominations, with debates over primaries versus unified candidacies expected through late 2026. Potential legal issues facing Marine Le Pen further elevate Jordan Bardella as a likely contender. These developments shape trader focus on the sequence and timing of formal 2026 announcements amid coalition negotiations and polling shifts.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.

Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Wolumen
$9,815
Data zakończenia
Apr 23, 2027
Rynek otwarty
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.French political parties are positioning candidates early for the April 2027 presidential vote, with incumbent Emmanuel Macron term-limited and the far-right National Rally leading most polls. Jean-Luc Mélenchon confirmed his fourth bid in early May 2026, while the left prepares an October 11 unitary primary involving socialists, greens, and other groups to select one nominee. On the center and right, figures such as Gabriel Attal, Édouard Philippe, Gérald Darmanin, and Bruno Retailleau have signaled intentions or secured nominations, with debates over primaries versus unified candidacies expected through late 2026. Potential legal issues facing Marine Le Pen further elevate Jordan Bardella as a likely contender. These developments shape trader focus on the sequence and timing of formal 2026 announcements amid coalition negotiations and polling shifts.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.

Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Wolumen
$9,815
Data zakończenia
Apr 23, 2027
Rynek otwarty
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Często zadawane pytania

"French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 21 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Jean-Luc Mélenchon" z 99%, za nim "Gabriel Attal" z 92%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 99¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 99% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

"French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?" to nowo utworzony rynek na Polymarket, uruchomiony Apr 22, 2026. Jako wczesny rynek, to Twoja okazja, aby być jednym z pierwszych traderów, którzy ustalą kursy i określą początkowe sygnały cenowe rynku. Możesz też dodać tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić wolumen i aktywność handlową w miarę rozwoju rynku.

Aby handlować na "French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?", przeglądaj 21 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?" jest "Jean-Luc Mélenchon" z 99%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 99% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Gabriel Attal" z 92%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

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