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French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

icon for French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

$97,659 Wol.

Apr 22, 2027
Polymarket

$97,659 Wol.

Polymarket

Jordan Bardella

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Valérie Pécresse

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5%

Élisabeth Borne

$3,034 Wol.

9%

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$1,089 Wol.

9%

Jean Castex

$1,246 Wol.

2%

Gérald Darmanin

$1,178 Wol.

7%

Sébastien Lecornu

$4,032 Wol.

10%

François Bayrou

$1,278 Wol.

2%

Bernard Cazeneuve

$1,273 Wol.

39%

Carole Delga

$1,454 Wol.

4%

François Hollande

$1,666 Wol.

61%

Manuel Bompard

$3,330 Wol.

6%

Mathilde Panot

$19,320 Wol.

3%

Dominique de Villepin

$1,664 Wol.

68%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The 2027 French presidential race, with its first round scheduled for April 2027, features a crowded field of declared candidates following Emmanuel Macron’s ineligibility for a third consecutive term. Marine Le Pen confirmed her fourth bid in July 2026 after courts cleared her to campaign despite a conviction, positioning Rassemblement National as the early frontrunner in polls. Jean-Luc Mélenchon launched his fourth campaign earlier in the year for La France Insoumise, while center-right figures including Gabriel Attal (May 2026) and Edouard Philippe have entered, alongside Bruno Retailleau’s endorsement by Les Républicains. Recent summer announcements include Raphaël Glucksmann, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, and Éric Zemmour, with a United Left primary set for October 2026 likely to shape the broader left’s nominee amid ongoing fragmentation.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.

Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Wolumen
$97,659
Data zakończenia
Apr 23, 2027
Rynek otwarty
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The 2027 French presidential race, with its first round scheduled for April 2027, features a crowded field of declared candidates following Emmanuel Macron’s ineligibility for a third consecutive term. Marine Le Pen confirmed her fourth bid in July 2026 after courts cleared her to campaign despite a conviction, positioning Rassemblement National as the early frontrunner in polls. Jean-Luc Mélenchon launched his fourth campaign earlier in the year for La France Insoumise, while center-right figures including Gabriel Attal (May 2026) and Edouard Philippe have entered, alongside Bruno Retailleau’s endorsement by Les Républicains. Recent summer announcements include Raphaël Glucksmann, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, and Éric Zemmour, with a United Left primary set for October 2026 likely to shape the broader left’s nominee amid ongoing fragmentation.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.

Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Wolumen
$97,659
Data zakończenia
Apr 23, 2027
Rynek otwarty
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x65070BE91...

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"French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 21 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Éric Zemmour" z 100%, za nim "Gabriel Attal" z 100%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 100¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 100% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?" wygenerował $97.7K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Apr 22, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?", przeglądaj 21 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?" jest "Éric Zemmour" z 100%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 100% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Gabriel Attal" z 100%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.