Skip to main content
icon for 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

icon for 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

$53,783 Wol.

Apr 17, 2027
Polymarket

$53,783 Wol.

Polymarket
icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$3,570 Wol.

89%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$3,429 Wol.

88%

icon for Nathalie Arthaud

Nathalie Arthaud

$2,084 Wol.

84%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$2,974 Wol.

73%

icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$468 Wol.

70%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$895 Wol.

55%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$818 Wol.

56%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$1,615 Wol.

45%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$2,305 Wol.

55%

icon for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$275 Wol.

51%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$2,066 Wol.

50%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$1,335 Wol.

49%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$2,067 Wol.

44%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$81 Wol.

40%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$1,419 Wol.

40%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$1,220 Wol.

37%

icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$2,108 Wol.

29%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$1,346 Wol.

28%

icon for Delphine Batho

Delphine Batho

$395 Wol.

16%

icon for Matthieu Pigasse

Matthieu Pigasse

$4,360 Wol.

18%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$108 Wol.

27%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$688 Wol.

17%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$441 Wol.

15%

icon for Juan Branco

Juan Branco

$1,751 Wol.

14%

icon for Jérôme Guedj

Jérôme Guedj

$747 Wol.

12%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$596 Wol.

11%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$998 Wol.

10%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$767 Wol.

10%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$1,488 Wol.

15%

icon for Michel-Edouard Leclerc

Michel-Edouard Leclerc

$1,151 Wol.

9%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$161 Wol.

9%

icon for Philippe de Villiers

Philippe de Villiers

$691 Wol.

8%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$496 Wol.

7%

icon for Jean-Michel Fauvergue

Jean-Michel Fauvergue

$863 Wol.

7%

icon for Manuel Valls

Manuel Valls

$350 Wol.

6%

icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$237 Wol.

13%

icon for Karim Bouamrane

Karim Bouamrane

$1,034 Wol.

6%

icon for Bally Bagayoko

Bally Bagayoko

$1,099 Wol.

5%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$1,573 Wol.

5%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$252 Wol.

5%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$343 Wol.

4%

icon for François Bayrou

François Bayrou

$952 Wol.

4%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$477 Wol.

4%

icon for Teddy Riner

Teddy Riner

$148 Wol.

3%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$795 Wol.

2%

icon for Manuel Bompard

Manuel Bompard

$746 Wol.

40%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2027 French presidential election features a wide-open field following Emmanuel Macron’s term limit, with the most immediate driver being the July 7, 2026 Paris Court of Appeals ruling on Marine Le Pen’s embezzlement conviction and potential five-year public-office ban. A upheld ineligibility would likely hand the National Rally nomination to Jordan Bardella, who already leads most first-round polling averages. Jean-Luc Mélenchon’s May 2026 confirmation of a fourth candidacy has consolidated much of the radical left but complicated efforts by Socialists, Greens, and other left-wing groups to organize a unitary primary. On the center-right, figures including Édouard Philippe, Gabriel Attal, and Bruno Retailleau are positioning themselves through local victories and party processes, while polls continue to show the far-right ticket favored to reach the runoff against a fragmented mainstream field.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$53,783
Data zakończenia
Apr 17, 2027
Rynek otwarty
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2027 French presidential election features a wide-open field following Emmanuel Macron’s term limit, with the most immediate driver being the July 7, 2026 Paris Court of Appeals ruling on Marine Le Pen’s embezzlement conviction and potential five-year public-office ban. A upheld ineligibility would likely hand the National Rally nomination to Jordan Bardella, who already leads most first-round polling averages. Jean-Luc Mélenchon’s May 2026 confirmation of a fourth candidacy has consolidated much of the radical left but complicated efforts by Socialists, Greens, and other left-wing groups to organize a unitary primary. On the center-right, figures including Édouard Philippe, Gabriel Attal, and Bruno Retailleau are positioning themselves through local victories and party processes, while polls continue to show the far-right ticket favored to reach the runoff against a fragmented mainstream field.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$53,783
Data zakończenia
Apr 17, 2027
Rynek otwarty
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.

Często zadawane pytania

"2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 46+ możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Jean-Luc Mélenchon" z 89%, za nim "Édouard Philippe" z 88%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 89¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 89% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" wygenerował $53.8K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Apr 22, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?", przeglądaj 46+ dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" jest "Jean-Luc Mélenchon" z 89%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 89% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Édouard Philippe" z 88%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.