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Elections·France

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

icon for 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Elections·France

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

$148,326 Wol.

Apr 17, 2027
Polymarket

$148,326 Wol.

Polymarket
icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$6,705 Wol.

96%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$10,209 Wol.

85%

icon for Nathalie Arthaud

Nathalie Arthaud

$5,180 Wol.

84%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$2,377 Wol.

77%

icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$2,751 Wol.

76%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$6,695 Wol.

75%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$2,615 Wol.

69%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$5,085 Wol.

53%

icon for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$576 Wol.

59%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$5,251 Wol.

50%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$5,801 Wol.

42%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$4,623 Wol.

41%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$1,342 Wol.

37%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$979 Wol.

34%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$4,681 Wol.

30%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$2,257 Wol.

26%

icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$4,322 Wol.

20%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$2,881 Wol.

17%

icon for Juan Branco

Juan Branco

$3,638 Wol.

17%

icon for Matthieu Pigasse

Matthieu Pigasse

$10,076 Wol.

13%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$3,175 Wol.

10%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$350 Wol.

10%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$2,539 Wol.

10%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$2,250 Wol.

9%

icon for Jérôme Guedj

Jérôme Guedj

$1,756 Wol.

9%

icon for Michel-Edouard Leclerc

Michel-Edouard Leclerc

$1,417 Wol.

9%

icon for Philippe de Villiers

Philippe de Villiers

$2,385 Wol.

9%

icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$1,265 Wol.

9%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$1,742 Wol.

8%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$1,637 Wol.

8%

icon for Manuel Bompard

Manuel Bompard

$2,842 Wol.

7%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$559 Wol.

7%

icon for Karim Bouamrane

Karim Bouamrane

$2,727 Wol.

7%

icon for Jean-Michel Fauvergue

Jean-Michel Fauvergue

$1,557 Wol.

7%

icon for François Bayrou

François Bayrou

$4,748 Wol.

6%

icon for Delphine Batho

Delphine Batho

$743 Wol.

5%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$1,576 Wol.

4%

icon for Manuel Valls

Manuel Valls

$972 Wol.

4%

icon for Bally Bagayoko

Bally Bagayoko

$1,258 Wol.

4%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$19,686 Wol.

4%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$478 Wol.

4%

icon for Teddy Riner

Teddy Riner

$352 Wol.

3%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$850 Wol.

3%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$345 Wol.

3%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$970 Wol.

3%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$2,102 Wol.

2%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Jordan Bardella of the National Rally leads first-round polling at around 32-34 percent and is widely viewed as the frontrunner for his party's nomination, while Jean-Luc Mélenchon confirmed his La France Insoumise candidacy in early May and appears likely to qualify.** Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal have also declared, splitting the center-right and Macronist vote, and Bruno Retailleau secured The Republicans' endorsement in April. Marine Le Pen's July 7 appeal against her embezzlement conviction and potential office ban remains the key near-term catalyst that could determine whether Bardella or Le Pen represents the far right. A fragmented left, including an October primary, raises the bar for additional qualifiers, and traders weigh these developments against the need for 500 elected signatures and party consolidation ahead of the April 2027 vote.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$148,326
Data zakończenia
Apr 17, 2027
Rynek otwarty
Apr 24, 2026, 1:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Jordan Bardella of the National Rally leads first-round polling at around 32-34 percent and is widely viewed as the frontrunner for his party's nomination, while Jean-Luc Mélenchon confirmed his La France Insoumise candidacy in early May and appears likely to qualify.** Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal have also declared, splitting the center-right and Macronist vote, and Bruno Retailleau secured The Republicans' endorsement in April. Marine Le Pen's July 7 appeal against her embezzlement conviction and potential office ban remains the key near-term catalyst that could determine whether Bardella or Le Pen represents the far right. A fragmented left, including an October primary, raises the bar for additional qualifiers, and traders weigh these developments against the need for 500 elected signatures and party consolidation ahead of the April 2027 vote.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$148,326
Data zakończenia
Apr 17, 2027
Rynek otwarty
Apr 24, 2026, 1:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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"2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 46+ możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Jean-Luc Mélenchon" z 96%, za nim "Édouard Philippe" z 85%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 96¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 96% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" wygenerował $148.3K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Apr 22, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

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Obecnym faworytem dla "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" jest "Jean-Luc Mélenchon" z 96%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 96% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Édouard Philippe" z 85%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

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