A wave of floor crossings has transformed Prime Minister Mark Carney's Liberal minority government into a majority, with five opposition MPs—including Conservative Marilyn Gladu on April 8—defecting since early 2026, prompting backlash including a petition surpassing 100,000 signatures for by-elections on defectors. No further switches have materialized in the past month, despite reports of Liberal recruitment attempts rebuffed by MPs like Kelly DeRidder. Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre pledged recall legislation to curb such moves. Traders monitor caucus discontent, public outrage, and procedural debates amid no-confidence risks or snap election pressures before the market's resolution window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNOWE
Jun 30, 2026
May 15
11%
May 31
16%
$505 Wol.
May 15
$86 Wol.
11%
May 31
$241 Wol.
16%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any sitting Member of Parliament (MP) in the Canadian House of Commons changes parties by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.A wave of floor crossings has transformed Prime Minister Mark Carney's Liberal minority government into a majority, with five opposition MPs—including Conservative Marilyn Gladu on April 8—defecting since early 2026, prompting backlash including a petition surpassing 100,000 signatures for by-elections on defectors. No further switches have materialized in the past month, despite reports of Liberal recruitment attempts rebuffed by MPs like Kelly DeRidder. Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre pledged recall legislation to curb such moves. Traders monitor caucus discontent, public outrage, and procedural debates amid no-confidence risks or snap election pressures before the market's resolution window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any sitting Member of Parliament (MP) in the Canadian House of Commons changes parties by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
“Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 16, 2026, 10:46 AM ET
Wolumen
$505Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 16, 2026, 10:46 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any sitting Member of Parliament (MP) in the Canadian House of Commons changes parties by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.A wave of floor crossings has transformed Prime Minister Mark Carney's Liberal minority government into a majority, with five opposition MPs—including Conservative Marilyn Gladu on April 8—defecting since early 2026, prompting backlash including a petition surpassing 100,000 signatures for by-elections on defectors. No further switches have materialized in the past month, despite reports of Liberal recruitment attempts rebuffed by MPs like Kelly DeRidder. Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre pledged recall legislation to curb such moves. Traders monitor caucus discontent, public outrage, and procedural debates amid no-confidence risks or snap election pressures before the market's resolution window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any sitting Member of Parliament (MP) in the Canadian House of Commons changes parties by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
“Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$505Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 16, 2026, 10:46 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A wave of floor crossings has transformed Prime Minister Mark Carney's Liberal minority government into a majority, with five opposition MPs—including Conservative Marilyn Gladu on April 8—defecting since early 2026, prompting backlash including a petition surpassing 100,000 signatures for by-elections on defectors. No further switches have materialized in the past month, despite reports of Liberal recruitment attempts rebuffed by MPs like Kelly DeRidder. Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre pledged recall legislation to curb such moves. Traders monitor caucus discontent, public outrage, and procedural debates amid no-confidence risks or snap election pressures before the market's resolution window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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