President Lee Jae-myung’s sustained approval ratings near 60 percent have strengthened the ruling Democratic Party’s position ahead of the June 3 local elections for all 17 metropolitan mayors and governors. Recent polling shows DP candidate Chong Won-o holding an eight-point lead in Seoul while the Busan race remains tied, narrowing earlier projections of larger gains and expanding the plausible range of outcomes. Unified DP candidate slates in key regions contrast with People Power Party internal divisions and regional incumbency advantages, positioning traders to cluster probabilities around 11 to 13 wins. These developments reflect the balance between national momentum favoring the DP and localized factors that could limit or expand the final tally.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHow many South Korean mayor/governor races will DP win?
How many South Korean mayor/governor races will DP win?
12 26%
14 16%
13 15%
≤10 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 3, 2026
≤10
9%
11
35%
12
41%
13
15%
14
16%
15
6%
≥16
1%
12 26%
14 16%
13 15%
≤10 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 3, 2026
≤10
$4,050 Wol.
9%
11
$465 Wol.
35%
12
$478 Wol.
41%
13
$809 Wol.
15%
14
$1,092 Wol.
16%
15
$620 Wol.
6%
≥16
$723 Wol.
1%
South Korean local elections are scheduled to be held on June 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of Mayor and Governor elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments won by the Democratic Party (DP) during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
If the results of the 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.President Lee Jae-myung’s sustained approval ratings near 60 percent have strengthened the ruling Democratic Party’s position ahead of the June 3 local elections for all 17 metropolitan mayors and governors. Recent polling shows DP candidate Chong Won-o holding an eight-point lead in Seoul while the Busan race remains tied, narrowing earlier projections of larger gains and expanding the plausible range of outcomes. Unified DP candidate slates in key regions contrast with People Power Party internal divisions and regional incumbency advantages, positioning traders to cluster probabilities around 11 to 13 wins. These developments reflect the balance between national momentum favoring the DP and localized factors that could limit or expand the final tally.
South Korean local elections are scheduled to be held on June 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of Mayor and Governor elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments won by the Democratic Party (DP) during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
If the results of the 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
This market will resolve according to the number of Mayor and Governor elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments won by the Democratic Party (DP) during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
If the results of the 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Rynek otwarty: May 13, 2026, 6:30 PM ET
Wolumen
$8,237Data zakończenia
Jun 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 13, 2026, 6:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...South Korean local elections are scheduled to be held on June 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of Mayor and Governor elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments won by the Democratic Party (DP) during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
If the results of the 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.President Lee Jae-myung’s sustained approval ratings near 60 percent have strengthened the ruling Democratic Party’s position ahead of the June 3 local elections for all 17 metropolitan mayors and governors. Recent polling shows DP candidate Chong Won-o holding an eight-point lead in Seoul while the Busan race remains tied, narrowing earlier projections of larger gains and expanding the plausible range of outcomes. Unified DP candidate slates in key regions contrast with People Power Party internal divisions and regional incumbency advantages, positioning traders to cluster probabilities around 11 to 13 wins. These developments reflect the balance between national momentum favoring the DP and localized factors that could limit or expand the final tally.
South Korean local elections are scheduled to be held on June 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of Mayor and Governor elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments won by the Democratic Party (DP) during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
If the results of the 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
This market will resolve according to the number of Mayor and Governor elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments won by the Democratic Party (DP) during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
If the results of the 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Wolumen
$8,237Data zakończenia
Jun 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 13, 2026, 6:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...President Lee Jae-myung’s sustained approval ratings near 60 percent have strengthened the ruling Democratic Party’s position ahead of the June 3 local elections for all 17 metropolitan mayors and governors. Recent polling shows DP candidate Chong Won-o holding an eight-point lead in Seoul while the Busan race remains tied, narrowing earlier projections of larger gains and expanding the plausible range of outcomes. Unified DP candidate slates in key regions contrast with People Power Party internal divisions and regional incumbency advantages, positioning traders to cluster probabilities around 11 to 13 wins. These developments reflect the balance between national momentum favoring the DP and localized factors that could limit or expand the final tally.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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