**Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors incumbent Juanma Moreno of the PP for re-election as President of Andalusia, reflecting consistent pre-election polls showing his party poised for an absolute majority in the 109-seat Parliament ahead of the May 17 vote.** Recent surveys over the past week, including post-television debate analyses, project PP at 42-43% support—enough for 54-57 seats—bolstered by Moreno's incumbency since 2022, job growth records, and the PSOE's projected worst-ever regional result under María Jesús Montero at around 24-28 seats. Vox trails at 14%, with left-wing candidates like Manuel Gavira, Antonio Maíllo, and José Ignacio García far behind. While odds exceed 90%, a late scandal, opposition turnout surge, or post-election coalition shifts if the absolute majority falls short could challenge this path, though polls indicate low risk.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoJuanma Moreno 98.4%
María Jesús Montero 1.2%
Manuel Gavira <1%
Antonio Maíllo <1%
$23,017 Wol.
$23,017 Wol.
Juanma Moreno
98%
María Jesús Montero
1%
Manuel Gavira
1%
Antonio Maíllo
<1%
José Ignacio García
<1%
Juanma Moreno 98.4%
María Jesús Montero 1.2%
Manuel Gavira <1%
Antonio Maíllo <1%
$23,017 Wol.
$23,017 Wol.
Juanma Moreno
98%
María Jesús Montero
1%
Manuel Gavira
1%
Antonio Maíllo
<1%
José Ignacio García
<1%
This market will resolve according to the first individual elected by the Parliament of Andalusia to serve as President of Andalusia following this election.
Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidents will not count.
If no such President has been elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Andalusia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 16, 2026, 7:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the first individual elected by the Parliament of Andalusia to serve as President of Andalusia following this election.
Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidents will not count.
If no such President has been elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Andalusia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors incumbent Juanma Moreno of the PP for re-election as President of Andalusia, reflecting consistent pre-election polls showing his party poised for an absolute majority in the 109-seat Parliament ahead of the May 17 vote.** Recent surveys over the past week, including post-television debate analyses, project PP at 42-43% support—enough for 54-57 seats—bolstered by Moreno's incumbency since 2022, job growth records, and the PSOE's projected worst-ever regional result under María Jesús Montero at around 24-28 seats. Vox trails at 14%, with left-wing candidates like Manuel Gavira, Antonio Maíllo, and José Ignacio García far behind. While odds exceed 90%, a late scandal, opposition turnout surge, or post-election coalition shifts if the absolute majority falls short could challenge this path, though polls indicate low risk.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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