Dexter McCoy holds an 89.5% implied probability in the 2026 Fort Bend County Judge race, far ahead of Republican nominee and interim judge Daniel Wong at 8.5%. McCoy, the Democratic Precinct 4 commissioner, secured his party’s nomination after a May runoff and benefits from the county’s evolving voter base and Wong’s contested interim appointment. Wong won the GOP primary but faces ongoing legal challenges to his role after the underlying civil suit against former judge KP George was dismissed in June; Democratic commissioners have argued the appointment ended by operation of law, leading to partisan clashes over presiding authority and a September budget vote split along party lines. Traders appear to weigh McCoy’s elected experience and these disputes more heavily than Wong’s current position ahead of the November 3 general election.