Recent opinion polls ahead of Malta’s May 30 parliamentary election show the incumbent Labour Party holding a lead of roughly 6–10 percentage points over the Nationalist Party. Surveys from late April place Labour at 51–53% and the Nationalists at 43–45%, translating into projected margins of 19,000–28,000 votes under typical turnout assumptions. This range aligns with trader emphasis on a 5–10% Labour victory as the consensus outcome, while narrower or wider margins receive lower probabilities consistent with polling variance. The snap election called by Prime Minister Robert Abela has kept focus on Labour’s record of economic stability and low unemployment, though the Nationalist campaign stresses the need for change. Undecided voters and final turnout remain key variables that could still shift the precise margin.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLabour Party 5-10% 48%
Labour Party <5% 22%
Labour Party 10-15% 19%
Other 7.3%
NOWE
NOWE
May 30, 2026
Labour Party 25%+
<1%
Labour Party 20-25%
2%
Labour Party 15-20%
5%
Labour Party 10-15%
19%
Labour Party 5-10%
48%
Labour Party <5%
22%
Other
7%
Labour Party 5-10% 48%
Labour Party <5% 22%
Labour Party 10-15% 19%
Other 7.3%
NOWE
NOWE
May 30, 2026
Labour Party 25%+
$411 Wol.
<1%
Labour Party 20-25%
$767 Wol.
2%
Labour Party 15-20%
$498 Wol.
5%
Labour Party 10-15%
$495 Wol.
19%
Labour Party 5-10%
$1,402 Wol.
48%
Labour Party <5%
$680 Wol.
22%
Other
$616 Wol.
7%
General elections are scheduled to be held in Malta on May 30, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes in this election.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the political party that wins the most valid votes nationwide and the political party that wins the second-most valid votes nationwide. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If two or more parties tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most valid votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the 2026 Maltese general election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results reported by the Government of Malta, such as those published by the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/).Recent opinion polls ahead of Malta’s May 30 parliamentary election show the incumbent Labour Party holding a lead of roughly 6–10 percentage points over the Nationalist Party. Surveys from late April place Labour at 51–53% and the Nationalists at 43–45%, translating into projected margins of 19,000–28,000 votes under typical turnout assumptions. This range aligns with trader emphasis on a 5–10% Labour victory as the consensus outcome, while narrower or wider margins receive lower probabilities consistent with polling variance. The snap election called by Prime Minister Robert Abela has kept focus on Labour’s record of economic stability and low unemployment, though the Nationalist campaign stresses the need for change. Undecided voters and final turnout remain key variables that could still shift the precise margin.
General elections are scheduled to be held in Malta on May 30, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes in this election.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the political party that wins the most valid votes nationwide and the political party that wins the second-most valid votes nationwide. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If two or more parties tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most valid votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the 2026 Maltese general election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results reported by the Government of Malta, such as those published by the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/).
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes in this election.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the political party that wins the most valid votes nationwide and the political party that wins the second-most valid votes nationwide. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If two or more parties tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most valid votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the 2026 Maltese general election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results reported by the Government of Malta, such as those published by the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/).
Rynek otwarty: May 12, 2026, 7:49 PM ET
Wolumen
$4,870Data zakończenia
May 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 12, 2026, 7:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...General elections are scheduled to be held in Malta on May 30, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes in this election.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the political party that wins the most valid votes nationwide and the political party that wins the second-most valid votes nationwide. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If two or more parties tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most valid votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the 2026 Maltese general election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results reported by the Government of Malta, such as those published by the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/).Recent opinion polls ahead of Malta’s May 30 parliamentary election show the incumbent Labour Party holding a lead of roughly 6–10 percentage points over the Nationalist Party. Surveys from late April place Labour at 51–53% and the Nationalists at 43–45%, translating into projected margins of 19,000–28,000 votes under typical turnout assumptions. This range aligns with trader emphasis on a 5–10% Labour victory as the consensus outcome, while narrower or wider margins receive lower probabilities consistent with polling variance. The snap election called by Prime Minister Robert Abela has kept focus on Labour’s record of economic stability and low unemployment, though the Nationalist campaign stresses the need for change. Undecided voters and final turnout remain key variables that could still shift the precise margin.
General elections are scheduled to be held in Malta on May 30, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes in this election.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the political party that wins the most valid votes nationwide and the political party that wins the second-most valid votes nationwide. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If two or more parties tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most valid votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the 2026 Maltese general election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results reported by the Government of Malta, such as those published by the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/).
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes in this election.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the political party that wins the most valid votes nationwide and the political party that wins the second-most valid votes nationwide. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If two or more parties tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most valid votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the 2026 Maltese general election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results reported by the Government of Malta, such as those published by the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/).
Wolumen
$4,870Data zakończenia
May 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 12, 2026, 7:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent opinion polls ahead of Malta’s May 30 parliamentary election show the incumbent Labour Party holding a lead of roughly 6–10 percentage points over the Nationalist Party. Surveys from late April place Labour at 51–53% and the Nationalists at 43–45%, translating into projected margins of 19,000–28,000 votes under typical turnout assumptions. This range aligns with trader emphasis on a 5–10% Labour victory as the consensus outcome, while narrower or wider margins receive lower probabilities consistent with polling variance. The snap election called by Prime Minister Robert Abela has kept focus on Labour’s record of economic stability and low unemployment, though the Nationalist campaign stresses the need for change. Undecided voters and final turnout remain key variables that could still shift the precise margin.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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