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Świat·Wybory Globalne

Zwycięzca pierwszej rundy wyborów prezydenckich w Kolumbii?

icon for Zwycięzca pierwszej rundy wyborów prezydenckich w Kolumbii?
Świat·Wybory Globalne

Zwycięzca pierwszej rundy wyborów prezydenckich w Kolumbii?

Iván Cepeda Castro 86%

Abelardo de la Espriella 13.6%

Paloma Valencia <1%

Vicky Dávila <1%

Polymarket

$5,917,577 Wol.

Iván Cepeda Castro 86%

Abelardo de la Espriella 13.6%

Paloma Valencia <1%

Vicky Dávila <1%

Polymarket

$5,917,577 Wol.

icon for Iván Cepeda Castro

Iván Cepeda Castro

$518,123 Wol.

86%

icon for Abelardo de la Espriella

Abelardo de la Espriella

$1,025,660 Wol.

14%

icon for Paloma Valencia

Paloma Valencia

$570,589 Wol.

1%

icon for Vicky Dávila

Vicky Dávila

$439,750 Wol.

<1%

icon for Luis Gilberto Murillo

Luis Gilberto Murillo

$298,122 Wol.

<1%

icon for Claudia López

Claudia López

$300,293 Wol.

<1%

icon for David Luna Sánchez

David Luna Sánchez

$283,057 Wol.

<1%

icon for Juan Daniel Oviedo

Juan Daniel Oviedo

$156,932 Wol.

<1%

icon for Gustavo Bolívar

Gustavo Bolívar

$229,484 Wol.

<1%

icon for Sergio Fajardo

Sergio Fajardo

$209,235 Wol.

<1%

icon for Juan Manuel Galán

Juan Manuel Galán

$235,184 Wol.

<1%

icon for Germán Vargas Lleras

Germán Vargas Lleras

$287,138 Wol.

<1%

icon for Roy Barreras

Roy Barreras

$285,258 Wol.

<1%

icon for Daniel Quintero

Daniel Quintero

$256,692 Wol.

<1%

icon for Juan Carlos Pinzón

Juan Carlos Pinzón

$144,829 Wol.

<1%

icon for Mauricio Cárdenas

Mauricio Cárdenas

$335,378 Wol.

<1%

icon for Enrique Peñalosa

Enrique Peñalosa

$305,353 Wol.

<1%

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co). Iván Cepeda Castro holds an 85.5% implied probability of winning Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential vote as the Pacto Histórico nominee and designated successor to President Gustavo Petro. Recent polls from Invamer, AtlasIntel, and Guarumo-EcoAnalítica place him at 37–44% support, well ahead of a fragmented right that splits backing between Abelardo de la Espriella at roughly 21–29% and Paloma Valencia near 20–23%. Cepeda’s campaign has consolidated left-leaning voters around continuity on total peace negotiations and energy transition, while the opposition remains divided along institutional and insurgent lines. Denunciations of armed-group voter pressure in rural areas surfaced in the past week, yet Cepeda has publicly rejected such interference, reinforcing his frontrunner status without altering the underlying polling gap.

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting.

If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Wolumen
$5,917,577
Data zakończenia
May 31, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Dec 23, 2025, 4:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co). Iván Cepeda Castro holds an 85.5% implied probability of winning Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential vote as the Pacto Histórico nominee and designated successor to President Gustavo Petro. Recent polls from Invamer, AtlasIntel, and Guarumo-EcoAnalítica place him at 37–44% support, well ahead of a fragmented right that splits backing between Abelardo de la Espriella at roughly 21–29% and Paloma Valencia near 20–23%. Cepeda’s campaign has consolidated left-leaning voters around continuity on total peace negotiations and energy transition, while the opposition remains divided along institutional and insurgent lines. Denunciations of armed-group voter pressure in rural areas surfaced in the past week, yet Cepeda has publicly rejected such interference, reinforcing his frontrunner status without altering the underlying polling gap.

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting.

If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Wolumen
$5,917,577
Data zakończenia
May 31, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Dec 23, 2025, 4:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

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Często zadawane pytania

" Zwycięzca pierwszej rundy wyborów prezydenckich w Kolumbii?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 18 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Iván Cepeda Castro" z 86%, za nim "Abelardo de la Espriella" z 14%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 86¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 86% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy " Zwycięzca pierwszej rundy wyborów prezydenckich w Kolumbii?" wygenerował $5.9 million łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Dec 23, 2025. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na " Zwycięzca pierwszej rundy wyborów prezydenckich w Kolumbii?", przeglądaj 18 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla " Zwycięzca pierwszej rundy wyborów prezydenckich w Kolumbii?" jest "Iván Cepeda Castro" z 86%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 86% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Abelardo de la Espriella" z 14%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania " Zwycięzca pierwszej rundy wyborów prezydenckich w Kolumbii?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.