Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the 100-119 tweet range at 48.4% implied probability for Elon Musk's X activity from May 8-15, reflecting his recent daily average of around 23 posts as tracked for the May 11-13 window, with 48 posts already logged at 57% progress into the full period. A quieter start gave way to a May 13 surge—featuring viral "True" endorsements on Oscars DEI criteria, Haitian genocide history, and Dominican Republic's Haitian deportations—despite reports of Musk traveling to China, where Starlink enabled nonstop posting and defied earlier low-volume bets. With two days left, no major catalysts like product launches signal a mega-spree, keeping 120-139 at 29.4% while higher bins fade amid his variable cultural and political engagement patterns.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano100-119 49.1%
120-139 27.2%
80-99 15.2%
140-159 7.5%
$7,412,356 Wol.
$7,412,356 Wol.
May 15, 2026
80-99
15%
100-119
49%
120-139
27%
140-159
8%
160-179
2%
180-199
1%
200-219
<1%
220-239
<1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
100-119 49.1%
120-139 27.2%
80-99 15.2%
140-159 7.5%
$7,412,356 Wol.
$7,412,356 Wol.
May 15, 2026
80-99
$991,863 Wol.
15%
100-119
$356,673 Wol.
49%
120-139
$364,744 Wol.
27%
140-159
$297,904 Wol.
8%
160-179
$274,002 Wol.
2%
180-199
$226,892 Wol.
1%
200-219
$265,771 Wol.
<1%
220-239
$221,740 Wol.
<1%
240-259
$308,440 Wol.
<1%
260-279
$255,455 Wol.
<1%
280-299
$204,633 Wol.
<1%
300-319
$206,664 Wol.
<1%
320-339
$192,775 Wol.
<1%
340-359
$63,239 Wol.
<1%
360-379
$68,264 Wol.
<1%
380-399
$62,389 Wol.
<1%
400-419
$58,683 Wol.
<1%
420-439
$118,926 Wol.
<1%
440-459
$91,560 Wol.
<1%
460-479
$117,006 Wol.
<1%
480-499
$86,800 Wol.
<1%
500+
$183,686 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 8 12:00 PM ET to May 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the 100-119 tweet range at 48.4% implied probability for Elon Musk's X activity from May 8-15, reflecting his recent daily average of around 23 posts as tracked for the May 11-13 window, with 48 posts already logged at 57% progress into the full period. A quieter start gave way to a May 13 surge—featuring viral "True" endorsements on Oscars DEI criteria, Haitian genocide history, and Dominican Republic's Haitian deportations—despite reports of Musk traveling to China, where Starlink enabled nonstop posting and defied earlier low-volume bets. With two days left, no major catalysts like product launches signal a mega-spree, keeping 120-139 at 29.4% while higher bins fade amid his variable cultural and political engagement patterns.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 8 12:00 PM ET to May 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Rynek otwarty: May 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Wolumen
$7,412,356Data zakończenia
May 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 8 12:00 PM ET to May 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the 100-119 tweet range at 48.4% implied probability for Elon Musk's X activity from May 8-15, reflecting his recent daily average of around 23 posts as tracked for the May 11-13 window, with 48 posts already logged at 57% progress into the full period. A quieter start gave way to a May 13 surge—featuring viral "True" endorsements on Oscars DEI criteria, Haitian genocide history, and Dominican Republic's Haitian deportations—despite reports of Musk traveling to China, where Starlink enabled nonstop posting and defied earlier low-volume bets. With two days left, no major catalysts like product launches signal a mega-spree, keeping 120-139 at 29.4% while higher bins fade amid his variable cultural and political engagement patterns.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 8 12:00 PM ET to May 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Wolumen
$7,412,356Data zakończenia
May 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the 100-119 tweet range at 48.4% implied probability for Elon Musk's X activity from May 8-15, reflecting his recent daily average of around 23 posts as tracked for the May 11-13 window, with 48 posts already logged at 57% progress into the full period. A quieter start gave way to a May 13 surge—featuring viral "True" endorsements on Oscars DEI criteria, Haitian genocide history, and Dominican Republic's Haitian deportations—despite reports of Musk traveling to China, where Starlink enabled nonstop posting and defied earlier low-volume bets. With two days left, no major catalysts like product launches signal a mega-spree, keeping 120-139 at 29.4% while higher bins fade amid his variable cultural and political engagement patterns.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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