António Guterres continues to serve as UN Secretary-General through the final months of his second term, with the selection process for his successor advancing on schedule ahead of the December 31, 2026, transition. Recent developments include candidate interactive dialogues held in April 2026, ongoing member-state consultations, and Guterres’ public statements confirming his commitment to completing the year in office while outlining priorities on peace, reform, and multilateralism. No formal challenges to his tenure, resignation announcements, or Security Council actions have emerged to alter the expected timeline. Traders’ 68.5 percent probability on “No” aligns with the standard two-term limit and the absence of any acute political or procedural triggers that would force an earlier departure.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAntónio Guterres out by December 31?
António Guterres out by December 31?
NOWE
NOWE
Dec 31, 2026
NOWE
NOWE
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if António Guterres ceases to be Secretary-General of the United Nations for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of António Guterres's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from António Guterres and the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.António Guterres continues to serve as UN Secretary-General through the final months of his second term, with the selection process for his successor advancing on schedule ahead of the December 31, 2026, transition. Recent developments include candidate interactive dialogues held in April 2026, ongoing member-state consultations, and Guterres’ public statements confirming his commitment to completing the year in office while outlining priorities on peace, reform, and multilateralism. No formal challenges to his tenure, resignation announcements, or Security Council actions have emerged to alter the expected timeline. Traders’ 68.5 percent probability on “No” aligns with the standard two-term limit and the absence of any acute political or procedural triggers that would force an earlier departure.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if António Guterres ceases to be Secretary-General of the United Nations for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of António Guterres's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from António Guterres and the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of António Guterres's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from António Guterres and the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 21, 2026, 2:17 PM ET
Wolumen
$1,642Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 21, 2026, 2:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if António Guterres ceases to be Secretary-General of the United Nations for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of António Guterres's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from António Guterres and the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.António Guterres continues to serve as UN Secretary-General through the final months of his second term, with the selection process for his successor advancing on schedule ahead of the December 31, 2026, transition. Recent developments include candidate interactive dialogues held in April 2026, ongoing member-state consultations, and Guterres’ public statements confirming his commitment to completing the year in office while outlining priorities on peace, reform, and multilateralism. No formal challenges to his tenure, resignation announcements, or Security Council actions have emerged to alter the expected timeline. Traders’ 68.5 percent probability on “No” aligns with the standard two-term limit and the absence of any acute political or procedural triggers that would force an earlier departure.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if António Guterres ceases to be Secretary-General of the United Nations for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of António Guterres's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from António Guterres and the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of António Guterres's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from António Guterres and the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$1,642Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 21, 2026, 2:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...António Guterres continues to serve as UN Secretary-General through the final months of his second term, with the selection process for his successor advancing on schedule ahead of the December 31, 2026, transition. Recent developments include candidate interactive dialogues held in April 2026, ongoing member-state consultations, and Guterres’ public statements confirming his commitment to completing the year in office while outlining priorities on peace, reform, and multilateralism. No formal challenges to his tenure, resignation announcements, or Security Council actions have emerged to alter the expected timeline. Traders’ 68.5 percent probability on “No” aligns with the standard two-term limit and the absence of any acute political or procedural triggers that would force an earlier departure.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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