Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d’Or market at 58% implied probability after a record 73-goal season across Bundesliga, Champions League, DFB-Pokal, and England’s World Cup campaign, where he added six goals en route to the semifinals. Traders have priced in his volume of scoring, big-game contributions, and Bayern’s domestic dominance as decisive factors. Lamine Yamal sits at 20.5% on the strength of Barcelona’s output and Spain’s World Cup triumph, though limited by early-season pubalgia and a late hamstring issue. Kylian Mbappé, Rodri, and Lionel Messi occupy the next tier amid France’s and Spain’s contrasting tournament results, while the shortlist release in early September and Kane’s measured response to recent Yamal comments have reinforced the current ordering ahead of the late-October ceremony.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoZwycięzca Ballon d'Or 2026
Zwycięzca Ballon d'Or 2026
Harry Kane 58.1%
Lamine Yamal 20.5%
Kylian Mbappé 7.6%
Lionel Messi 5.7%
$37,640,416 Wol.
$37,640,416 Wol.
Harry Kane
58%
Lamine Yamal
21%
Kylian Mbappé
8%
Lionel Messi
6%
Rodri
5%
Chwicza Kwaracchelia
2%
Ousmane Dembélé
1%
Fabian Ruiz
1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
<1%
Harry Kane 58.1%
Lamine Yamal 20.5%
Kylian Mbappé 7.6%
Lionel Messi 5.7%
$37,640,416 Wol.
$37,640,416 Wol.
Harry Kane
58%
Lamine Yamal
21%
Kylian Mbappé
8%
Lionel Messi
6%
Rodri
5%
Chwicza Kwaracchelia
2%
Ousmane Dembélé
1%
Fabian Ruiz
1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
<1%
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Rynek otwarty: Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Rozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d’Or market at 58% implied probability after a record 73-goal season across Bundesliga, Champions League, DFB-Pokal, and England’s World Cup campaign, where he added six goals en route to the semifinals. Traders have priced in his volume of scoring, big-game contributions, and Bayern’s domestic dominance as decisive factors. Lamine Yamal sits at 20.5% on the strength of Barcelona’s output and Spain’s World Cup triumph, though limited by early-season pubalgia and a late hamstring issue. Kylian Mbappé, Rodri, and Lionel Messi occupy the next tier amid France’s and Spain’s contrasting tournament results, while the shortlist release in early September and Kane’s measured response to recent Yamal comments have reinforced the current ordering ahead of the late-October ceremony.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania