Traders assign an overwhelming 78.5% implied probability to a Bank of Israel rate cut in May because the central bank established an easing bias with two 25-basis-point reductions early in 2026 and paused only temporarily in March amid elevated energy prices tied to the Iran conflict. Recent data show inflation forecasts remaining below the 2% target while labor-market conditions stabilize, prompting commercial banks to already lower deposit rates in anticipation of a move to 3.75%. The May 25 decision now serves as the next clear catalyst, with market-implied odds reflecting real-capital consensus that further monetary accommodation is likely absent any sharp rebound in CPI or renewed geopolitical shocks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoBank of Israel Decision in May?
Decrease 79%
No Change 20%
Increase <1%
$41,293 Wol.
$41,293 Wol.
Decrease
79%
No Change
20%
Increase
1%
Decrease 79%
No Change 20%
Increase <1%
$41,293 Wol.
$41,293 Wol.
Decrease
79%
No Change
20%
Increase
1%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its May 25, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their May 25, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Rynek otwarty: Feb 25, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its May 25, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their May 25, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign an overwhelming 78.5% implied probability to a Bank of Israel rate cut in May because the central bank established an easing bias with two 25-basis-point reductions early in 2026 and paused only temporarily in March amid elevated energy prices tied to the Iran conflict. Recent data show inflation forecasts remaining below the 2% target while labor-market conditions stabilize, prompting commercial banks to already lower deposit rates in anticipation of a move to 3.75%. The May 25 decision now serves as the next clear catalyst, with market-implied odds reflecting real-capital consensus that further monetary accommodation is likely absent any sharp rebound in CPI or renewed geopolitical shocks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania