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icon for CA-04 House Election Winner (by individual)

CA-04 House Election Winner (by individual)

icon for CA-04 House Election Winner (by individual)

CA-04 House Election Winner (by individual)

NOWE
Polymarket
NOWE

Mike Thompson

$2,646 Wol.

85%

Eric Jones

$338 Wol.

17%

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mike Thompson holds a modest edge in the CA-04 general election market following the June 2 top-two primary, where the incumbent Democrat secured 41% and challenger Eric Jones advanced with 22% amid a field that included multiple Republicans. California's nonpartisan primary system and recent redistricting under Proposition 50 have produced an all-Democratic November matchup in a district that now incorporates more rural, traditionally conservative territory from counties such as Placer, Sutter, and Yuba. Jones, a younger former venture capitalist with progressive endorsements and youth-mobilization backing, has positioned the contest around generational change and turnout, while Thompson emphasizes his long record and moderate profile. The narrow spread reflects uncertainty over how the altered electorate will respond to these intra-party dynamics ahead of the November 3 vote.

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$2,984
Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Jul 6, 2026, 6:04 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mike Thompson holds a modest edge in the CA-04 general election market following the June 2 top-two primary, where the incumbent Democrat secured 41% and challenger Eric Jones advanced with 22% amid a field that included multiple Republicans. California's nonpartisan primary system and recent redistricting under Proposition 50 have produced an all-Democratic November matchup in a district that now incorporates more rural, traditionally conservative territory from counties such as Placer, Sutter, and Yuba. Jones, a younger former venture capitalist with progressive endorsements and youth-mobilization backing, has positioned the contest around generational change and turnout, while Thompson emphasizes his long record and moderate profile. The narrow spread reflects uncertainty over how the altered electorate will respond to these intra-party dynamics ahead of the November 3 vote.

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$2,984
Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Jul 6, 2026, 6:04 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

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Często zadawane pytania

"CA-04 House Election Winner (by individual)" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 2 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Mike Thompson" z 85%, za nim "Eric Jones" z 17%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 85¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 85% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

"CA-04 House Election Winner (by individual)" to nowo utworzony rynek na Polymarket, uruchomiony Jul 6, 2026. Jako wczesny rynek, to Twoja okazja, aby być jednym z pierwszych traderów, którzy ustalą kursy i określą początkowe sygnały cenowe rynku. Możesz też dodać tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić wolumen i aktywność handlową w miarę rozwoju rynku.

Aby handlować na "CA-04 House Election Winner (by individual)", przeglądaj 2 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "CA-04 House Election Winner (by individual)" jest "Mike Thompson" z 85%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 85% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Eric Jones" z 17%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "CA-04 House Election Winner (by individual)" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.