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icon for Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?

Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?

icon for Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?

Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?

$204,481 Wol.

Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket

$204,481 Wol.

Polymarket

June 30, 2026

$149,593 Wol.

1%

December 31, 2026

$11,241 Wol.

10%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Claudia Sheinbaum ceases to be President of Mexico for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Claudia Sheinbaum's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Claudia Sheinbaum and the government of Mexico; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Claudia Sheinbaum continues to serve her single six-year term as Mexico’s president, inaugurated in October 2024 and constitutionally barred from immediate re-election through 2030. Trader assessments of an early departure reflect her sustained high approval ratings near 65-70 percent, anchored by continuity of social programs, recent minimum-wage increases, and security operations such as the March 2026 action against a major cartel leader. Legislative priorities including investment-facilitation reforms and electoral-spending cuts have advanced with Morena’s congressional majorities, while bilateral coordination with the United States on trade and narcotics has avoided major disruptions. No scheduled elections, confirmation votes, or constitutional triggers for removal exist before the term’s end, leaving only unforeseen health, legal, or political events as potential catalysts for change.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Claudia Sheinbaum ceases to be President of Mexico for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Claudia Sheinbaum's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Claudia Sheinbaum and the government of Mexico; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$204,481
Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Oct 27, 2025, 7:19 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Claudia Sheinbaum ceases to be President of Mexico for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Claudia Sheinbaum's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Claudia Sheinbaum and the government of Mexico; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Claudia Sheinbaum ceases to be President of Mexico for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Claudia Sheinbaum's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Claudia Sheinbaum and the government of Mexico; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Claudia Sheinbaum continues to serve her single six-year term as Mexico’s president, inaugurated in October 2024 and constitutionally barred from immediate re-election through 2030. Trader assessments of an early departure reflect her sustained high approval ratings near 65-70 percent, anchored by continuity of social programs, recent minimum-wage increases, and security operations such as the March 2026 action against a major cartel leader. Legislative priorities including investment-facilitation reforms and electoral-spending cuts have advanced with Morena’s congressional majorities, while bilateral coordination with the United States on trade and narcotics has avoided major disruptions. No scheduled elections, confirmation votes, or constitutional triggers for removal exist before the term’s end, leaving only unforeseen health, legal, or political events as potential catalysts for change.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Claudia Sheinbaum ceases to be President of Mexico for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Claudia Sheinbaum's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Claudia Sheinbaum and the government of Mexico; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$204,481
Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Oct 27, 2025, 7:19 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Claudia Sheinbaum ceases to be President of Mexico for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Claudia Sheinbaum's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Claudia Sheinbaum and the government of Mexico; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Często zadawane pytania

"Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 3 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "December 31, 2026" z 10%, za nim "June 30, 2026" z 1%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 10¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 10% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?" wygenerował $204.5K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Oct 27, 2025. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?", przeglądaj 3 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?" jest "December 31, 2026" z 10%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 10% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "June 30, 2026" z 1%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.