Bilateral diplomatic engagement and economic interdependence between the United States and Mexico continue to anchor trader consensus against military intervention in 2026. Ongoing cooperation on border security, counternarcotics operations, and trade frameworks has produced no official statements, congressional authorizations, troop movements, or executive directives indicating invasion plans. Historical precedent of peaceful neighbor relations and institutional constraints on unilateral military action further support this view. While an unforeseen cross-border security crisis, major policy reversal by the executive branch, or rapid escalation in transnational threats could still shift probabilities, current government actions and diplomatic channels show no such trajectory.