**Elon Musk’s typical daily posting volume on X, historically ranging from 15–30 tweets amid commentary on Tesla, SpaceX, and broader issues, drives the market’s concentration in the 40–89 range for the three-day window.** Recent short-period markets show similar clustering, with documented daily peaks around 44 posts reinforcing trader expectations of moderate output rather than extremes. No major company announcements, regulatory events, or viral controversies appear to be elevating activity in the immediate lead-up, keeping probabilities anchored to baseline patterns. Weekend timing often tempers volume compared with weekday news cycles, further supporting the 49.5% implied probability on 40–64 tweets and 34.5% on 65–89 as the consensus view of steady but unexceptional engagement.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoElon Musk # tweets June 13 - June 15, 2026?
Elon Musk # tweets June 13 - June 15, 2026?
40-64 50%
65-89 35%
90-114 13%
<40 9%
NOWE
$23,508 Wol.
NOWE
$23,508 Wol.
Jun 15, 2026
<40
9%
40-64
50%
65-89
35%
90-114
13%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 50%
65-89 35%
90-114 13%
<40 9%
NOWE
$23,508 Wol.
NOWE
$23,508 Wol.
Jun 15, 2026
<40
$581 Wol.
9%
40-64
$78 Wol.
50%
65-89
$311 Wol.
35%
90-114
$373 Wol.
13%
115-139
$199 Wol.
1%
140-164
$295 Wol.
<1%
165-189
$1,746 Wol.
<1%
190-214
$7,088 Wol.
<1%
215-239
$7,088 Wol.
<1%
240+
$5,818 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 13 12:00 PM ET to June 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Elon Musk’s typical daily posting volume on X, historically ranging from 15–30 tweets amid commentary on Tesla, SpaceX, and broader issues, drives the market’s concentration in the 40–89 range for the three-day window.** Recent short-period markets show similar clustering, with documented daily peaks around 44 posts reinforcing trader expectations of moderate output rather than extremes.
No major company announcements, regulatory events, or viral controversies appear to be elevating activity in the immediate lead-up, keeping probabilities anchored to baseline patterns. Weekend timing often tempers volume compared with weekday news cycles, further supporting the 49.5% implied probability on 40–64 tweets and 34.5% on 65–89 as the consensus view of steady but unexceptional engagement.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 13 12:00 PM ET to June 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 11, 2026, 12:02 PM ET
Wolumen
$23,508Data zakończenia
Jun 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 11, 2026, 12:02 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 13 12:00 PM ET to June 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Elon Musk’s typical daily posting volume on X, historically ranging from 15–30 tweets amid commentary on Tesla, SpaceX, and broader issues, drives the market’s concentration in the 40–89 range for the three-day window.** Recent short-period markets show similar clustering, with documented daily peaks around 44 posts reinforcing trader expectations of moderate output rather than extremes.
No major company announcements, regulatory events, or viral controversies appear to be elevating activity in the immediate lead-up, keeping probabilities anchored to baseline patterns. Weekend timing often tempers volume compared with weekday news cycles, further supporting the 49.5% implied probability on 40–64 tweets and 34.5% on 65–89 as the consensus view of steady but unexceptional engagement.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 13 12:00 PM ET to June 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Wolumen
$23,508Data zakończenia
Jun 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 11, 2026, 12:02 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Elon Musk’s typical daily posting volume on X, historically ranging from 15–30 tweets amid commentary on Tesla, SpaceX, and broader issues, drives the market’s concentration in the 40–89 range for the three-day window.** Recent short-period markets show similar clustering, with documented daily peaks around 44 posts reinforcing trader expectations of moderate output rather than extremes. No major company announcements, regulatory events, or viral controversies appear to be elevating activity in the immediate lead-up, keeping probabilities anchored to baseline patterns. Weekend timing often tempers volume compared with weekday news cycles, further supporting the 49.5% implied probability on 40–64 tweets and 34.5% on 65–89 as the consensus view of steady but unexceptional engagement.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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