**The market heavily favors fewer than five posts from the official @khamenei_ir account during June 12–19, 2026, reflecting the account’s historically low posting frequency and the current leadership transition.** Ali Khamenei was killed in early 2026 strikes, with his son Mojtaba succeeding him as Supreme Leader amid ongoing power consolidation and internal jockeying involving the IRGC. The account now functions primarily as an archive of the late leader’s statements, with recent activity limited to occasional reposts of older material rather than new content. Ongoing US-Iran negotiations, including reported progress on a deal framework in mid-June, combined with Mojtaba Khamenei’s June 4 public call for national unity, have prioritized behind-the-scenes diplomacy and internal messaging over frequent public X activity. Traders price in this pattern of restrained official output during sensitive periods, consistent with the account’s behavior since the succession.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoKhamenei # posts June 12 - June 19, 2026?
Khamenei # posts June 12 - June 19, 2026?
<5 76%
5-9 8.5%
25-29 4.1%
15-19 2.6%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 19, 2026
<5
76%
5-9
9%
10-14
1%
15-19
3%
20-24
3%
25-29
4%
30-34
2%
35-39
1%
40-44
<1%
45-49
<1%
50-54
<1%
55-59
1%
60+
<1%
<5 76%
5-9 8.5%
25-29 4.1%
15-19 2.6%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 19, 2026
<5
$1,468 Wol.
76%
5-9
$249 Wol.
9%
10-14
$244 Wol.
1%
15-19
$272 Wol.
3%
20-24
$256 Wol.
3%
25-29
$234 Wol.
4%
30-34
$275 Wol.
2%
35-39
$224 Wol.
1%
40-44
$297 Wol.
<1%
45-49
$214 Wol.
<1%
50-54
$286 Wol.
<1%
55-59
$186 Wol.
1%
60+
$219 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 12, 12:00 PM ET and June 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**The market heavily favors fewer than five posts from the official @khamenei_ir account during June 12–19, 2026, reflecting the account’s historically low posting frequency and the current leadership transition.**
Ali Khamenei was killed in early 2026 strikes, with his son Mojtaba succeeding him as Supreme Leader amid ongoing power consolidation and internal jockeying involving the IRGC. The account now functions primarily as an archive of the late leader’s statements, with recent activity limited to occasional reposts of older material rather than new content.
Ongoing US-Iran negotiations, including reported progress on a deal framework in mid-June, combined with Mojtaba Khamenei’s June 4 public call for national unity, have prioritized behind-the-scenes diplomacy and internal messaging over frequent public X activity. Traders price in this pattern of restrained official output during sensitive periods, consistent with the account’s behavior since the succession.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 12, 12:00 PM ET and June 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 9, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Wolumen
$4,409Data zakończenia
Jun 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 9, 2026, 12:01 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 12, 12:00 PM ET and June 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**The market heavily favors fewer than five posts from the official @khamenei_ir account during June 12–19, 2026, reflecting the account’s historically low posting frequency and the current leadership transition.**
Ali Khamenei was killed in early 2026 strikes, with his son Mojtaba succeeding him as Supreme Leader amid ongoing power consolidation and internal jockeying involving the IRGC. The account now functions primarily as an archive of the late leader’s statements, with recent activity limited to occasional reposts of older material rather than new content.
Ongoing US-Iran negotiations, including reported progress on a deal framework in mid-June, combined with Mojtaba Khamenei’s June 4 public call for national unity, have prioritized behind-the-scenes diplomacy and internal messaging over frequent public X activity. Traders price in this pattern of restrained official output during sensitive periods, consistent with the account’s behavior since the succession.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 12, 12:00 PM ET and June 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Wolumen
$4,409Data zakończenia
Jun 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 9, 2026, 12:01 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...**The market heavily favors fewer than five posts from the official @khamenei_ir account during June 12–19, 2026, reflecting the account’s historically low posting frequency and the current leadership transition.** Ali Khamenei was killed in early 2026 strikes, with his son Mojtaba succeeding him as Supreme Leader amid ongoing power consolidation and internal jockeying involving the IRGC. The account now functions primarily as an archive of the late leader’s statements, with recent activity limited to occasional reposts of older material rather than new content. Ongoing US-Iran negotiations, including reported progress on a deal framework in mid-June, combined with Mojtaba Khamenei’s June 4 public call for national unity, have prioritized behind-the-scenes diplomacy and internal messaging over frequent public X activity. Traders price in this pattern of restrained official output during sensitive periods, consistent with the account’s behavior since the succession.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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