Recent U.S.-Iran talks over a one-page memorandum to end hostilities and reopen the Strait of Hormuz have highlighted core sticking points, including Washington’s demands for a 20-year enrichment moratorium, handover of Iran’s highly enriched uranium stockpile, and closure of key nuclear facilities. Iranian officials have countered with shorter timelines and rejected those terms outright, prompting President Trump to dismiss Tehran’s latest proposal as unacceptable on May 11. These disputes, set against ongoing indirect negotiations in Oman and Pakistan, indicate that any framework agreement would still require weeks of follow-on talks on sanctions relief and verification, pushing a full nuclear accord well beyond June 30. Trader sentiment reflects this timeline mismatch and mutual distrust, reinforced by the absence of breakthroughs in the most recent diplomatic exchanges.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoUmowa nuklearna USA-Iran do 30 czerwca?
Umowa nuklearna USA-Iran do 30 czerwca?
Tak
$1,858,605 Wol.
$1,858,605 Wol.
Jun 30, 2026
Tak
$1,858,605 Wol.
$1,858,605 Wol.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent U.S.-Iran talks over a one-page memorandum to end hostilities and reopen the Strait of Hormuz have highlighted core sticking points, including Washington’s demands for a 20-year enrichment moratorium, handover of Iran’s highly enriched uranium stockpile, and closure of key nuclear facilities. Iranian officials have countered with shorter timelines and rejected those terms outright, prompting President Trump to dismiss Tehran’s latest proposal as unacceptable on May 11. These disputes, set against ongoing indirect negotiations in Oman and Pakistan, indicate that any framework agreement would still require weeks of follow-on talks on sanctions relief and verification, pushing a full nuclear accord well beyond June 30. Trader sentiment reflects this timeline mismatch and mutual distrust, reinforced by the absence of breakthroughs in the most recent diplomatic exchanges.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Rynek otwarty: Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ET
Wolumen
$1,858,605Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent U.S.-Iran talks over a one-page memorandum to end hostilities and reopen the Strait of Hormuz have highlighted core sticking points, including Washington’s demands for a 20-year enrichment moratorium, handover of Iran’s highly enriched uranium stockpile, and closure of key nuclear facilities. Iranian officials have countered with shorter timelines and rejected those terms outright, prompting President Trump to dismiss Tehran’s latest proposal as unacceptable on May 11. These disputes, set against ongoing indirect negotiations in Oman and Pakistan, indicate that any framework agreement would still require weeks of follow-on talks on sanctions relief and verification, pushing a full nuclear accord well beyond June 30. Trader sentiment reflects this timeline mismatch and mutual distrust, reinforced by the absence of breakthroughs in the most recent diplomatic exchanges.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Wolumen
$1,858,605Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S.-Iran talks over a one-page memorandum to end hostilities and reopen the Strait of Hormuz have highlighted core sticking points, including Washington’s demands for a 20-year enrichment moratorium, handover of Iran’s highly enriched uranium stockpile, and closure of key nuclear facilities. Iranian officials have countered with shorter timelines and rejected those terms outright, prompting President Trump to dismiss Tehran’s latest proposal as unacceptable on May 11. These disputes, set against ongoing indirect negotiations in Oman and Pakistan, indicate that any framework agreement would still require weeks of follow-on talks on sanctions relief and verification, pushing a full nuclear accord well beyond June 30. Trader sentiment reflects this timeline mismatch and mutual distrust, reinforced by the absence of breakthroughs in the most recent diplomatic exchanges.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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