Trader consensus at 99% "No" reflects high confidence that Iran will not hold a presidential election by June 30, driven by President Masoud Pezeshkian's continued tenure following the Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei's assassination in late February 2026. The Assembly of Experts swiftly appointed Mojtaba Khamenei as successor by early March, forming an interim council that included Pezeshkian and stabilizing leadership without triggering constitutional provisions for a snap presidential vote. Despite March rumors of Pezeshkian's resignation attempts amid the crisis, official images and statements confirm his active role into April. A snap election requires Guardian Council announcement within 50 days of presidential death, resignation, or dismissal—none activated, with his full term set for 2028. Only sudden incapacity or upheaval could shift odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWill Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?
Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?
$217,037 Wol.
$217,037 Wol.
Jun 30, 2026
$217,037 Wol.
$217,037 Wol.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus at 99% "No" reflects high confidence that Iran will not hold a presidential election by June 30, driven by President Masoud Pezeshkian's continued tenure following the Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei's assassination in late February 2026. The Assembly of Experts swiftly appointed Mojtaba Khamenei as successor by early March, forming an interim council that included Pezeshkian and stabilizing leadership without triggering constitutional provisions for a snap presidential vote. Despite March rumors of Pezeshkian's resignation attempts amid the crisis, official images and statements confirm his active role into April. A snap election requires Guardian Council announcement within 50 days of presidential death, resignation, or dismissal—none activated, with his full term set for 2028. Only sudden incapacity or upheaval could shift odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Mar 1, 2026, 3:09 PM ET
Wolumen
$217,037Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Mar 1, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus at 99% "No" reflects high confidence that Iran will not hold a presidential election by June 30, driven by President Masoud Pezeshkian's continued tenure following the Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei's assassination in late February 2026. The Assembly of Experts swiftly appointed Mojtaba Khamenei as successor by early March, forming an interim council that included Pezeshkian and stabilizing leadership without triggering constitutional provisions for a snap presidential vote. Despite March rumors of Pezeshkian's resignation attempts amid the crisis, official images and statements confirm his active role into April. A snap election requires Guardian Council announcement within 50 days of presidential death, resignation, or dismissal—none activated, with his full term set for 2028. Only sudden incapacity or upheaval could shift odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$217,037Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Mar 1, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus at 99% "No" reflects high confidence that Iran will not hold a presidential election by June 30, driven by President Masoud Pezeshkian's continued tenure following the Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei's assassination in late February 2026. The Assembly of Experts swiftly appointed Mojtaba Khamenei as successor by early March, forming an interim council that included Pezeshkian and stabilizing leadership without triggering constitutional provisions for a snap presidential vote. Despite March rumors of Pezeshkian's resignation attempts amid the crisis, official images and statements confirm his active role into April. A snap election requires Guardian Council announcement within 50 days of presidential death, resignation, or dismissal—none activated, with his full term set for 2028. Only sudden incapacity or upheaval could shift odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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