European leaders from France, the United Kingdom, and Germany have consistently prioritized defensive measures and diplomatic engagement following the escalation of the US-Iran conflict in late February 2026. Joint statements have condemned Iranian retaliatory missile and drone attacks on regional allies while committing only to proportionate actions protecting navigation routes such as the Strait of Hormuz, including deployments of naval assets like the UK destroyer HMS Dragon and the French carrier Charles de Gaulle. Failed US-Iran talks in April, combined with economic risks from oil disruptions and domestic opposition to deeper involvement, have reinforced this limited posture. Trader consensus reflects these structural barriers, though a major Iranian strike on European forces or territory could still prompt reassessment before the June 30 resolution date.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCzy Francja, Wielka Brytania lub Niemcy uderzą w Iran do 30 czerwca?
Czy Francja, Wielka Brytania lub Niemcy uderzą w Iran do 30 czerwca?
Tak
$1,360,429 Wol.
$1,360,429 Wol.
Jun 30, 2026
Tak
$1,360,429 Wol.
$1,360,429 Wol.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if France, the United Kingdom, or Germany initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by French, United Kingdom, or German military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a French, United Kingdom, or German missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by French, United Kingdom, or German ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.European leaders from France, the United Kingdom, and Germany have consistently prioritized defensive measures and diplomatic engagement following the escalation of the US-Iran conflict in late February 2026. Joint statements have condemned Iranian retaliatory missile and drone attacks on regional allies while committing only to proportionate actions protecting navigation routes such as the Strait of Hormuz, including deployments of naval assets like the UK destroyer HMS Dragon and the French carrier Charles de Gaulle. Failed US-Iran talks in April, combined with economic risks from oil disruptions and domestic opposition to deeper involvement, have reinforced this limited posture. Trader consensus reflects these structural barriers, though a major Iranian strike on European forces or territory could still prompt reassessment before the June 30 resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if France, the United Kingdom, or Germany initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by French, United Kingdom, or German military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a French, United Kingdom, or German missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by French, United Kingdom, or German ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by French, United Kingdom, or German military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a French, United Kingdom, or German missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by French, United Kingdom, or German ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Feb 16, 2026, 11:42 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,360,429Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Feb 16, 2026, 11:42 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if France, the United Kingdom, or Germany initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by French, United Kingdom, or German military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a French, United Kingdom, or German missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by French, United Kingdom, or German ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.European leaders from France, the United Kingdom, and Germany have consistently prioritized defensive measures and diplomatic engagement following the escalation of the US-Iran conflict in late February 2026. Joint statements have condemned Iranian retaliatory missile and drone attacks on regional allies while committing only to proportionate actions protecting navigation routes such as the Strait of Hormuz, including deployments of naval assets like the UK destroyer HMS Dragon and the French carrier Charles de Gaulle. Failed US-Iran talks in April, combined with economic risks from oil disruptions and domestic opposition to deeper involvement, have reinforced this limited posture. Trader consensus reflects these structural barriers, though a major Iranian strike on European forces or territory could still prompt reassessment before the June 30 resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if France, the United Kingdom, or Germany initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by French, United Kingdom, or German military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a French, United Kingdom, or German missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by French, United Kingdom, or German ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by French, United Kingdom, or German military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a French, United Kingdom, or German missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by French, United Kingdom, or German ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$1,360,429Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Feb 16, 2026, 11:42 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...European leaders from France, the United Kingdom, and Germany have consistently prioritized defensive measures and diplomatic engagement following the escalation of the US-Iran conflict in late February 2026. Joint statements have condemned Iranian retaliatory missile and drone attacks on regional allies while committing only to proportionate actions protecting navigation routes such as the Strait of Hormuz, including deployments of naval assets like the UK destroyer HMS Dragon and the French carrier Charles de Gaulle. Failed US-Iran talks in April, combined with economic risks from oil disruptions and domestic opposition to deeper involvement, have reinforced this limited posture. Trader consensus reflects these structural barriers, though a major Iranian strike on European forces or territory could still prompt reassessment before the June 30 resolution date.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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