Trader consensus on a near-certain "No" outcome reflects the absence of any official U.S. military confirmation or credible public disclosure of kamikaze-style dolphin operations by the May 31 deadline. The Pentagon's recent statements, including Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth's refusal to confirm or deny while explicitly ruling out similar Iranian capabilities, align with the Navy's long-standing Marine Mammal Program, which trains bottlenose dolphins exclusively for mine detection, harbor protection, and object recovery rather than explosive attacks. With only two weeks remaining and no legislative, declassification, or intelligence-release triggers in motion, traders see insufficient time for a verifiable shift. Late developments such as an unexpected executive disclosure or verified leak could still force resolution to "Yes," though such scenarios lack supporting evidence at present.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoUS Kamikaze Dolphins confirmed by May 31?
$29,515 Wol.
$29,515 Wol.
$29,515 Wol.
$29,515 Wol.
“Kamikaze dolphins” refers to the use of dolphins as weapons through the attachment of explosive devices to dolphins for the purpose of attacking ships or other targets. The use of dolphins for mine detection, surveillance, retrieval, harbor defense or other military purposes not involving the attachment of explosive devices will not qualify.
Confirmation of the existence of kamikaze dolphins requires confirmation that the United States military has used, trained, or equipped dolphins to conduct attack missions of this type, or operates an ongoing program for the use of kamikaze dolphins.
Official confirmation from the United States government or military of the existence of kamikaze dolphins will qualify. A consensus of credible reporting confirming the existence of kamikaze dolphins in the US military will also qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States government and military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: May 11, 2026, 6:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...“Kamikaze dolphins” refers to the use of dolphins as weapons through the attachment of explosive devices to dolphins for the purpose of attacking ships or other targets. The use of dolphins for mine detection, surveillance, retrieval, harbor defense or other military purposes not involving the attachment of explosive devices will not qualify.
Confirmation of the existence of kamikaze dolphins requires confirmation that the United States military has used, trained, or equipped dolphins to conduct attack missions of this type, or operates an ongoing program for the use of kamikaze dolphins.
Official confirmation from the United States government or military of the existence of kamikaze dolphins will qualify. A consensus of credible reporting confirming the existence of kamikaze dolphins in the US military will also qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States government and military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on a near-certain "No" outcome reflects the absence of any official U.S. military confirmation or credible public disclosure of kamikaze-style dolphin operations by the May 31 deadline. The Pentagon's recent statements, including Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth's refusal to confirm or deny while explicitly ruling out similar Iranian capabilities, align with the Navy's long-standing Marine Mammal Program, which trains bottlenose dolphins exclusively for mine detection, harbor protection, and object recovery rather than explosive attacks. With only two weeks remaining and no legislative, declassification, or intelligence-release triggers in motion, traders see insufficient time for a verifiable shift. Late developments such as an unexpected executive disclosure or verified leak could still force resolution to "Yes," though such scenarios lack supporting evidence at present.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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