Ongoing indirect negotiations between the United States and Iran, mediated primarily by Pakistan, continue to shape expectations for the next diplomatic meeting. The most recent direct talks occurred in Islamabad on April 11-12, 2026, involving U.S. Vice President JD Vance, Special Envoy Steve Witkoff, and Jared Kushner alongside Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, but ended without agreement amid disputes over a ceasefire extension, the Strait of Hormuz, and nuclear issues. Subsequent U.S. and Iranian proposals exchanged in early May were each rejected by the other side, creating a stalemate that traders view as likely to delay or alter attendance patterns at any follow-up session. Pakistan’s role as mediator has positioned it as the probable venue for the next round, with no confirmed date yet established by either government. Resolution hinges on whether renewed indirect contacts through Pakistani channels produce a framework acceptable to both capitals before the June 30 deadline referenced in related markets.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$1,177,613 Wol.
Donald Trump
3%
Marco Rubio
8%
J.D. Vance
32%
Jared Kushner
51%
Steve Witkoff
47%
$1,177,613 Wol.
Donald Trump
3%
Marco Rubio
8%
J.D. Vance
32%
Jared Kushner
51%
Steve Witkoff
47%
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 14, 2026, 6:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing indirect negotiations between the United States and Iran, mediated primarily by Pakistan, continue to shape expectations for the next diplomatic meeting. The most recent direct talks occurred in Islamabad on April 11-12, 2026, involving U.S. Vice President JD Vance, Special Envoy Steve Witkoff, and Jared Kushner alongside Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, but ended without agreement amid disputes over a ceasefire extension, the Strait of Hormuz, and nuclear issues. Subsequent U.S. and Iranian proposals exchanged in early May were each rejected by the other side, creating a stalemate that traders view as likely to delay or alter attendance patterns at any follow-up session. Pakistan’s role as mediator has positioned it as the probable venue for the next round, with no confirmed date yet established by either government. Resolution hinges on whether renewed indirect contacts through Pakistani channels produce a framework acceptable to both capitals before the June 30 deadline referenced in related markets.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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