President Trump launched Project Freedom on May 4, 2026, a US military operation to escort stranded merchant ships through the Iranian-blockaded Strait of Hormuz, but paused it after 48 hours when Saudi Arabia denied basing and airspace access over fears of provoking further Iranian retaliation. Recent diplomatic efforts, including a US peace proposal rejected by Tehran, have stalled amid shaky ceasefire compliance and sporadic clashes, prompting Trump to signal consideration of restarting—potentially as an expanded "Project Freedom Plus"—while Gulf allies remain wary. No resumption has occurred as of May 15, with trader consensus reflecting logistical hurdles, regional hesitancy, and hopes for de-escalation through bilateral negotiations before the market's resolution date.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWill Trump restart Project Freedom by...?
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by...?
$234,244 Wol.
May 15
2%
May 31
38%
$234,244 Wol.
May 15
2%
May 31
38%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump, the United States government, or the United States military announces that Project Freedom will be restarted by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement explicitly stating that “Project Freedom” will be restarted will qualify. Additionally, any announcement of a substantially equivalent United States military program to escort, protect, or retrieve commercial ships in or through the Strait of Hormuz will qualify.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, expressions of openness, reported preparations, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced program goes into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump, the United States government, and the United States military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: May 12, 2026, 11:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump, the United States government, or the United States military announces that Project Freedom will be restarted by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement explicitly stating that “Project Freedom” will be restarted will qualify. Additionally, any announcement of a substantially equivalent United States military program to escort, protect, or retrieve commercial ships in or through the Strait of Hormuz will qualify.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, expressions of openness, reported preparations, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced program goes into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump, the United States government, and the United States military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump launched Project Freedom on May 4, 2026, a US military operation to escort stranded merchant ships through the Iranian-blockaded Strait of Hormuz, but paused it after 48 hours when Saudi Arabia denied basing and airspace access over fears of provoking further Iranian retaliation. Recent diplomatic efforts, including a US peace proposal rejected by Tehran, have stalled amid shaky ceasefire compliance and sporadic clashes, prompting Trump to signal consideration of restarting—potentially as an expanded "Project Freedom Plus"—while Gulf allies remain wary. No resumption has occurred as of May 15, with trader consensus reflecting logistical hurdles, regional hesitancy, and hopes for de-escalation through bilateral negotiations before the market's resolution date.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania