The near-certain trader consensus against passage by May 31 reflects the absence of any introduced or committee-advancing legislation invoking the War Powers Resolution in relation to Iran. Congressional calendars show limited floor time remaining before the deadline, with both chambers prioritizing appropriations measures and domestic policy over new foreign-policy authorizations. Bipartisan support for restricting executive military action remains low absent a triggering event, consistent with historical patterns where such resolutions rarely advance without acute escalation. A realistic shift could occur only through a sudden diplomatic breakdown or direct military incident prompting an emergency session and fast-track consideration within the narrow remaining window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNOWE
NOWE
May 31, 2026
NOWE
NOWE
May 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.The near-certain trader consensus against passage by May 31 reflects the absence of any introduced or committee-advancing legislation invoking the War Powers Resolution in relation to Iran. Congressional calendars show limited floor time remaining before the deadline, with both chambers prioritizing appropriations measures and domestic policy over new foreign-policy authorizations. Bipartisan support for restricting executive military action remains low absent a triggering event, consistent with historical patterns where such resolutions rarely advance without acute escalation. A realistic shift could occur only through a sudden diplomatic breakdown or direct military incident prompting an emergency session and fast-track consideration within the narrow remaining window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 27, 2026, 5:51 PM ET
Wolumen
$2,544Data zakończenia
May 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 27, 2026, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.The near-certain trader consensus against passage by May 31 reflects the absence of any introduced or committee-advancing legislation invoking the War Powers Resolution in relation to Iran. Congressional calendars show limited floor time remaining before the deadline, with both chambers prioritizing appropriations measures and domestic policy over new foreign-policy authorizations. Bipartisan support for restricting executive military action remains low absent a triggering event, consistent with historical patterns where such resolutions rarely advance without acute escalation. A realistic shift could occur only through a sudden diplomatic breakdown or direct military incident prompting an emergency session and fast-track consideration within the narrow remaining window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$2,544Data zakończenia
May 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 27, 2026, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The near-certain trader consensus against passage by May 31 reflects the absence of any introduced or committee-advancing legislation invoking the War Powers Resolution in relation to Iran. Congressional calendars show limited floor time remaining before the deadline, with both chambers prioritizing appropriations measures and domestic policy over new foreign-policy authorizations. Bipartisan support for restricting executive military action remains low absent a triggering event, consistent with historical patterns where such resolutions rarely advance without acute escalation. A realistic shift could occur only through a sudden diplomatic breakdown or direct military incident prompting an emergency session and fast-track consideration within the narrow remaining window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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