Iran maintains its longstanding position that uranium enrichment is an inalienable right under the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty, creating a core impasse in ongoing US-Iran negotiations mediated by Oman. Recent rounds of talks, including those in Geneva and Rome, have seen Tehran reject demands for a complete halt to enrichment activities or transfer of its stockpiles, instead signaling willingness only to downblend material or defer the nuclear file to later phases. US proposals for strict limits or a moratorium have met consistent opposition from Iranian officials, including the foreign minister, amid stalled progress and references to historical red lines. These developments underpin trader consensus that an agreement ending enrichment by June 30 remains improbable.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoIran zgadza się zakończyć wzbogacanie uranu do 30 czerwca?
Tak
$1,381,173 Wol.
$1,381,173 Wol.
Tak
$1,381,173 Wol.
$1,381,173 Wol.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Iran maintains its longstanding position that uranium enrichment is an inalienable right under the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty, creating a core impasse in ongoing US-Iran negotiations mediated by Oman. Recent rounds of talks, including those in Geneva and Rome, have seen Tehran reject demands for a complete halt to enrichment activities or transfer of its stockpiles, instead signaling willingness only to downblend material or defer the nuclear file to later phases. US proposals for strict limits or a moratorium have met consistent opposition from Iranian officials, including the foreign minister, amid stalled progress and references to historical red lines. These developments underpin trader consensus that an agreement ending enrichment by June 30 remains improbable.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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