Recent U.S.-mediated trilateral talks between Russia, Ukraine, and American envoys in Geneva in February 2026 produced only incremental steps such as prisoner-exchange commitments, with core territorial disputes unresolved. Negotiations paused amid Middle East developments and have not resumed at a bilateral Russia-Ukraine level. Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov stated in April that Moscow sees no urgency to restart direct talks, while President Vladimir Putin declared on May 10 that the conflict “is coming to an end” and endorsed a short-term ceasefire alongside a large-scale prisoner swap. These signals, set against ongoing battlefield advances in eastern Ukraine, shape trader assessments of whether a formal diplomatic meeting will occur before the market’s resolution date.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$149,681 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
May 31
3%
June 30
27%
December 31
73%
$149,681 Wol.
May 31
$73,506 Wol.
3%
June 30
$27,674 Wol.
27%
December 31
$48,500 Wol.
73%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent U.S.-mediated trilateral talks between Russia, Ukraine, and American envoys in Geneva in February 2026 produced only incremental steps such as prisoner-exchange commitments, with core territorial disputes unresolved. Negotiations paused amid Middle East developments and have not resumed at a bilateral Russia-Ukraine level. Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov stated in April that Moscow sees no urgency to restart direct talks, while President Vladimir Putin declared on May 10 that the conflict “is coming to an end” and endorsed a short-term ceasefire alongside a large-scale prisoner swap. These signals, set against ongoing battlefield advances in eastern Ukraine, shape trader assessments of whether a formal diplomatic meeting will occur before the market’s resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: May 4, 2026, 3:07 PM ET
Wolumen
$149,681Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 4, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent U.S.-mediated trilateral talks between Russia, Ukraine, and American envoys in Geneva in February 2026 produced only incremental steps such as prisoner-exchange commitments, with core territorial disputes unresolved. Negotiations paused amid Middle East developments and have not resumed at a bilateral Russia-Ukraine level. Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov stated in April that Moscow sees no urgency to restart direct talks, while President Vladimir Putin declared on May 10 that the conflict “is coming to an end” and endorsed a short-term ceasefire alongside a large-scale prisoner swap. These signals, set against ongoing battlefield advances in eastern Ukraine, shape trader assessments of whether a formal diplomatic meeting will occur before the market’s resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$149,681Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 4, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S.-mediated trilateral talks between Russia, Ukraine, and American envoys in Geneva in February 2026 produced only incremental steps such as prisoner-exchange commitments, with core territorial disputes unresolved. Negotiations paused amid Middle East developments and have not resumed at a bilateral Russia-Ukraine level. Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov stated in April that Moscow sees no urgency to restart direct talks, while President Vladimir Putin declared on May 10 that the conflict “is coming to an end” and endorsed a short-term ceasefire alongside a large-scale prisoner swap. These signals, set against ongoing battlefield advances in eastern Ukraine, shape trader assessments of whether a formal diplomatic meeting will occur before the market’s resolution date.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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